← Match Finder
Europa League
Referee: Y Aranovskyi
HJK Helsinki
S S U T T
1–1
Full-time
Ludogorets
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

HJK Helsinki Ludogorets
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,8
4,0
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Europa League · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
17%
75%
Both score Ø 46%
17%
75%
Average goals
1,8
3,8
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
16 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

HJK Helsinki Ludogorets
10′
⚽ M. Tissera 0–1
Cauly
Half-time 0–1
Santeri Hostikka 🟨
51′
1–1 P. Hetemaj ⚽
S. Hostikka
55′
Jukka Raitala 🟨
58′
61′
🔁 Rick
↦ B. Tekpetey
A. Olusanya 🔁
↦ M. Abubakari
64′
69′
🔁 Nonato
↦ Show
70′
🔁 Thiago
↦ M. Tissera
N. Boujellab 🔁
↦ S. Hostikka
74′
B. Radulović 🔁
↦ P. Hetemaj
74′
80′
🟨 Jakub Piotrowski
Nassim Boujellab 🟨
86′
87′
🔁 Pedro Naressi
↦ K. Despodov
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

HJK Helsinki

3-4-2-1
1 C. Hazard G
14 M. Peltola D
5 A. Hoskonen D
22 J. Raitala D
23 P. Soiri M
21 S. Väänänen M
8 L. Lingman M
24 D. Browne M
7 S. Hostikka F
56 P. Hetemaj F
77 M. Abubakari F
Bench (12)
29 A. Olusanya
10 N. Boujellab
18 B. Radulović
17 M. Martić
37 A. Tanaka
19 C. Terho
12 J. Tånnander
58 J. Yli-Kokko
44 F. Serrarens
9 Riku Riski
4 J. Toivio
3 J. Saksela

Coach: T. Koskela

Ludogorets

4-2-3-1
1 S. Padt G
16 A. Witry D
32 I. Plastun D
24 O. Verdon D
3 A. Nedyalkov D
6 J. Piotrowski M
23 Show M
37 B. Tekpetey M
95 Cauly M
11 K. Despodov M
10 M. Tissera F
Bench (12)
73 Rick
20 Nonato
9 Thiago
30 Pedro Naressi
67 D. Hristov
12 S. Sluga
5 G. Terziev
14 D. Gruper
8 Claude Gonçalves
4 Cicinho
82 I. Yordanov
90 S. Delev

Coach: A. Šimundža

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.