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Primeira Liga

Referee: Joao Pedro Pinheiro

Casa Pia

S U U S T

0–7

Full-time

Benfica

T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Casa Pia Benfica

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

1,2

4,2

Scored

0,7

3,0

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

4,0

Scored

0,0

2,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,17 xG 2,84

36% Possession 64%

3 Shots 20

0 Shots on target 8

0 Blocked shots 8

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 3

1 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Casa Pia 16. · Benfica 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Arouca	2	2	0	0	+5	-0.1	6
2	Porto	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.3	6
3	Maritimo	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.6	6
4	Nacional	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.7	4
5	Sp Lisbon	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.4	4
6	Santa Clara	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.2	4
7	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.5	3
8	Estrela	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.1	2
9	Benfica	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.4	1
10	Sp Braga	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
11	Famalicao	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.5	1
12	Academico Viseu	2	0	1	1	-1	-3.1	1
13	Alverca	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.4	1
14	Estoril	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.6	1
15	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-4	-2.8	1
16	Casa Pia	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
17	Guimaraes	2	0	0	2	-2	+1.9	0
18	Rio Ave	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.7	3
2	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
3	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
4	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
5	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.5	3
6	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
7	Santa Clara	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
8	Benfica	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.4	1
9	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
10	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.5	1
11	Alverca	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
12	Estoril	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
13	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
14	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.8	0
15	Academico Viseu	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
16	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.3	3
2	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
3	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.8	3
4	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
5	Nacional	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
6	Academico Viseu	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.4	1
7	Sp Braga	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
8	Sp Lisbon	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.5	1
9	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
10	Famalicao	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
11	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
12	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.5	0
13	Casa Pia	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
14	Alverca	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
15	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0
16	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.