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Eliteserien

Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen

Aalesund

U S T T U

3–1

Full-time

Lillestrom

U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

4,5

2,2

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

2,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — Eliteserien · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

53% Possession 47%

14 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 3

2 Offside 6

13 Free kicks against 24

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aalesund 15. · Lillestrom 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sarpsborg 08	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Rosenborg	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Tromso	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Haugesund	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Stabaek	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Molde	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Brann	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Stromsgodset	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Valerenga	3	1	0	2	-1	3
10	Sogndal	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	Lillestrom	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Kristiansund	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Sandefjord	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Odd	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Aalesund	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Viking	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sarpsborg 08	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Rosenborg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Stabaek	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Tromso	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Stromsgodset	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Sogndal	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Brann	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Odd	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Haugesund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Molde	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Valerenga	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Kristiansund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Lillestrom	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Viking	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Aalesund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Sandefjord	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Sarpsborg 08	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Tromso	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Sandefjord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Haugesund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Molde	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Brann	2	0	1	1	-1	1
8	Aalesund	2	0	1	1	-2	1
9	Valerenga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Lillestrom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Kristiansund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Stabaek	1	0	0	1	-3	0
13	Stromsgodset	1	0	0	1	-3	0
14	Viking	2	0	0	2	-4	0
15	Sogndal	2	0	0	2	-5	0
16	Odd	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.