Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Bodo/Glimt
Ull/Kisa
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ranheim
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +5 | 18 |
| 2 |
Start
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 16 |
| 3 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 4 |
Sandnes ULF
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |
Mjondalen
|
7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +8 | 13 |
| 6 |
Ull/Kisa
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 |
Strommen
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +0 | 11 |
| 8 |
Levanger
|
8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 9 |
Asane
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |
Floro
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 |
Tromsdalen Uil
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |
Jerv
|
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 13 |
Arendal
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 14 |
Elverum
|
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -10 | 4 |
| 15 |
Fredrikstad
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 16 |
Kongsvinger
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 3 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sandnes ULF
Bodo/Glimt
Tromsdalen Uil
Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt
Start
Fredrikstad
Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt
Elverum
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.