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KNVB Beker

Referee: S Gözübüyük

Heracles

U U S S T

2–2

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — KNVB Beker · 4/3 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

1,5

3,3

Scored

1,5

2,7

Conceded

0,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

49% Possession 51%

12 Shots 21

3 Shots on target 7

6 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 11

1 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 23

5 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heracles 2. · AZ Alkmaar 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Noordwijk	6	5	0	1	+7	15
2	Heracles	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Go Ahead Eagles	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	0	1	+10	9
5	Barendrecht	4	3	0	1	+9	9
6	Sparta Nijkerk	4	3	0	1	+8	9
7	Utrecht	4	3	0	1	+8	9
8	AZ Alkmaar	3	3	0	0	+6	9
9	Quick Boys	4	3	0	1	+4	9
10	ASWH	4	3	0	1	+4	9
11	Rijnsburgse Boys	4	3	0	1	+2	9
12	Eemdijk	4	3	0	1	-1	9
13	De Graafschap	3	2	0	1	+5	6
14	Waalwijk	3	2	0	1	+4	6
15	Ijsselmeervogels	3	2	0	1	+3	6
16	Winterswijk	3	2	0	1	+3	6
17	Excelsior	3	2	0	1	+2	6
18	Blauw Geel	3	2	0	1	+2	6
19	Feyenoord	3	2	0	1	+2	6
20	Capelle	3	2	0	1	+1	6
21	Heerenveen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
22	OJC Rosmalen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
23	SC Genemuiden	3	2	0	1	+1	6
24	Quick '20	3	2	0	1	+0	6
25	Hercules	3	2	0	1	-2	6
26	Rijnvogels	3	2	0	1	-2	6
27	Dovo	3	2	0	1	-2	6
28	AFC Amsterdam	3	2	0	1	-3	6
29	Koninklijke HFC	3	2	0	1	-5	6
30	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	1	0	+5	4
31	FC Lisse	3	1	1	1	+0	4
32	Kolping Boys	3	1	1	1	-3	4
33	FC Eindhoven	2	1	0	1	+5	3
34	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+3	3
35	Groningen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
36	Volendam	2	1	0	1	+2	3
37	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+2	3
38	Katwijk	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	For Sittard	2	1	0	1	+1	3
40	Juliana '31	2	1	0	1	+1	3
41	Telstar	2	1	0	1	+1	3
42	ADO '20	2	1	0	1	+1	3
43	RKAVV	2	1	0	1	+1	3
44	Cambuur	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Willem II	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	HV & CV Quick	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Poortugaal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	MVV	2	1	0	1	+0	3
51	Vvsb	2	1	0	1	+0	3
52	Ajax Amateurs	2	1	0	1	+0	3
53	Ajax	2	1	0	1	+0	3
54	UDI '19	2	1	0	1	+0	3
55	Twente	2	1	0	1	-1	3
56	Achilles Veen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
57	Hoek	2	1	0	1	-1	3
58	TEC	2	1	0	1	-2	3
59	HBC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Smitshoek	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Elinkwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	EVV	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Olde Veste '54	2	0	1	1	-1	1
64	Zwaluw VFC	2	0	1	1	-3	1
65	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	SDC Putten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	DEM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Spakenburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	URK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	GOES	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	De Bilt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Geldrop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	SVBO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	DAW Schaijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	Forum Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	FC 's-Gravenzande	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	ACV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
99	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	0
100	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-3	0
101	De Treffers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
102	UNA	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	Heerjansdam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
104	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
105	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	0
106	GVVV Veenendaal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
107	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
108	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-4	0
109	ROHDA Raalte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
110	Laar	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Noordwijk	4	4	0	0	+5	12
2	Sparta Nijkerk	3	3	0	0	+12	9
3	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	0	1	+10	9
4	Quick Boys	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	AZ Alkmaar	3	3	0	0	+6	9
6	Rijnsburgse Boys	4	3	0	1	+2	9
7	De Graafschap	3	2	0	1	+5	6
8	Barendrecht	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Waalwijk	3	2	0	1	+4	6
10	Go Ahead Eagles	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Heracles	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	ASWH	3	2	0	1	+2	6
13	AFC Amsterdam	3	2	0	1	-3	6
14	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+2	3
16	TEC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Capelle	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	ADO '20	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Juliana '31	2	1	0	1	+1	3
21	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	OJC Rosmalen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Hoek	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Achilles Veen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Winterswijk	2	1	0	1	+1	3
27	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	HV & CV Quick	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Poortugaal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	MVV	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	SC Genemuiden	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	Dovo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
33	Hercules	2	1	0	1	-4	3
34	Eemdijk	2	1	0	1	-4	3
35	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-5	3
36	HBC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Smitshoek	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Elinkwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	EVV	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Katwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	DEM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Ajax Amateurs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	RKAVV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Spakenburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	GOES	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	De Bilt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Quick '20	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	FC 's-Gravenzande	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	ACV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	De Treffers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Heerjansdam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Kolping Boys	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	ROHDA Raalte	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Utrecht	4	3	0	1	+8	9
2	Ijsselmeervogels	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Heracles	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Blauw Geel	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Feyenoord	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Quick '20	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Heerenveen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Kolping Boys	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Go Ahead Eagles	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	FC Lisse	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+7	3
13	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+5	3
14	Barendrecht	2	1	0	1	+4	3
15	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+3	3
16	Rijnvogels	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Groningen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
18	Noordwijk	2	1	0	1	+2	3
19	Volendam	2	1	0	1	+2	3
20	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Winterswijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	ASWH	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	RKAVV	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+1	3
26	For Sittard	2	1	0	1	+1	3
27	Vvsb	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Ajax Amateurs	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	SC Genemuiden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	UDI '19	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Cambuur	2	1	0	1	+0	3
33	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	Willem II	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	OJC Rosmalen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Twente	2	1	0	1	-1	3
37	Capelle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
38	Koninklijke HFC	2	1	0	1	-6	3
39	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Olde Veste '54	2	0	1	1	-1	1
41	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	SDC Putten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	URK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Achilles Veen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Geldrop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	SVBO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Ajax	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	DAW Schaijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Forum Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	UNA	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	GVVV Veenendaal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-4	0
74	TEC	1	0	0	1	-4	0
75	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-4	0
76	Laar	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.