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Europa League
Referee: S Marciniak
Twente
S S T T S
1–0
Full-time
Besiktas
U S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,5
2,3
Scored
2,7
1,5
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/9 matches
Win Ø 29%
14%
44%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
29%
89%
Both score Ø 68%
57%
78%
Average goals
2,3
4,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,21 xG 0,62
49% Possession 51%
22 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
11 Corners 5
4 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Twente Besiktas
Anass Salah-Eddine 🟨
6′
18′
🟨 Jonas Svensson
37′
🟨 Ciro Immobile
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 S. Kılıçsoy
↦ C. Immobile
54′
🟨 Milot Rashica
60′
🔁 S. Uçan
↦ Rafa
66′
🟨 Emirhan Topçu
69′
🔁 João Mário
↦ E. Muçi
1–0 D. Rots ⚽
A. Salah-Eddine
76′
B. Kuipers 🔁
↦ S. Ltaief
81′
81′
🔁 O. Bulut
↦ J. Svensson
81′
🔁 M. Hekimoğlu
↦ M. Rashica
A. Van Hoorenbeeck 🔁
↦ M. Vlap
87′
M. Kjølø 🔁
↦ S. Steijn
87′
G. Besselink 🔁
↦ D. Rots
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
28 B. van Rooij D
38 M. Bruns D
3 G. Lagerbielke D
34 A. Salah-Eddine D
18 M. Vlap M
23 M. Sadílek M
11 D. Rots M
14 S. Steijn M
30 S. Ltaief M
9 R. van Wolfswinkel F
Bench (11)
5 B. Kuipers
17 A. Van Hoorenbeeck
4 M. Kjølø
41 G. Besselink
24 J. Mesbahi
21 S. Karssies
22 P. Tytoń
2 M. Hilgers
29 H. Kuster
25 L. Vennegoor of Hesselink
7 M. van Bergen

Coach: J. Oosting

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
34 M. Günok G
2 J. Svensson D
14 F. Uduokhai D
53 E. Topçu D
26 A. Masuaku D
83 Gedson Fernandes M
6 Al Musrati M
7 M. Rashica M
27 Rafa M
23 E. Muçi M
17 C. Immobile F
Bench (10)
9 S. Kılıçsoy
8 S. Uçan
18 João Mário
4 O. Bulut
91 M. Hekimoğlu
94 G. Baytekin
93 A. Özüarap
22 B. Zaynutdinov
30 E. Destanoğlu
44 F. Ay

Coach: O. Solskjær

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Marciniak · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.