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Eredivisie
Referee: J Manschot
Twente
S T U S S
6–2
Full-time
Willem II
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Willem II
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 16/17 matches
Win Ø 46%
56%
35%
Points per game
1,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
63%
41%
Both score Ø 55%
63%
47%
Average goals
3,3
2,4
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

3,28 xG 0,95
64% Possession 36%
21 Shots 10
12 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 5. · Willem II 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 18 15 1 2 +46 +24.0 46
2 Ajax 18 13 3 2 +22 +12.9 42
3 Utrecht 17 11 3 3 +6 +1.1 36
4 Feyenoord 17 10 5 2 +19 +18.3 35
5 Twente 16 9 4 3 +12 +12.6 31
6 Go Ahead Eagles 18 8 4 6 +6 +11.2 28
7 AZ Alkmaar 16 8 3 5 +5 +6.5 27
8 For Sittard 18 7 4 7 -3 -0.3 25
9 Willem II 17 6 4 7 +2 -12.4 22
10 NAC Breda 17 7 1 9 -8 -7.7 22
11 Heerenveen 16 6 3 7 -6 -2.1 21
12 Nijmegen 18 6 2 10 +0 +4.5 20
13 Zwolle 18 4 5 9 -11 -13.4 17
14 Groningen 16 4 4 8 -12 -11.6 16
15 Heracles 17 3 6 8 -15 -15.0 15
16 Sparta Rotterdam 18 2 7 9 -12 +0.8 13
17 Almere City 17 2 3 12 -27 -12.5 9
18 Waalwijk 18 1 4 13 -24 -17.2 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Willem II
1–0 S. Steijn
D. Rots
12′
31′
R. Behounek 1–1
R. Meerveld
2–1 S. Steijn
B. Kuipers
36′
40′
P. Joosten 2–2
R. Meerveld
Half-time 2–2
M. Kjølø 🔁
↦ Y. Regeer
46′
3–2 S. Steijn
50′
4–2 R. van Wolfswinkel
D. Rots
68′
A. Salah-Eddine 🔁
↦ B. Kuipers
70′
71′
🟨 Jeremy Bokila
74′
🔁 C. Sandra
↦ J. Bosch
75′
🔁 A. Fatah
↦ N. Doodeman
5–2 M. Sadílek
M. Vlap
79′
C. Eiting 🔁
↦ M. Sadílek
82′
L. Vennegoor of Hesselink 🔁
↦ R. van Wolfswinkel
82′
82′
🔁 Y. Sylla
↦ J. Bokila
M. van Bergen 🔁
↦ D. Rots
86′
88′
🔁 E. Kehrer
↦ P. Joosten
88′
🔁 J. Mathijsen
↦ R. Sigurgeirsson
6–2 C. Eiting
M. Vlap
91′
Full-time 6–2

Line-ups

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
28 B. van Rooij D
3 G. Lagerbielke D
17 A. Van Hoorenbeeck D
5 B. Kuipers D
8 Y. Regeer M
23 M. Sadílek M
11 D. Rots M
14 S. Steijn M
18 M. Vlap M
9 R. van Wolfswinkel F
Bench (12)
4 M. Kjølø
34 A. Salah-Eddine
6 C. Eiting
25 L. Vennegoor of Hesselink
7 M. van Bergen
30 S. Ltaief
41 G. Besselink
24 J. Mesbahi
39 M. Rots
22 P. Tytoń
38 M. Bruns
21 S. Karssies

Coach: J. Oosting

Willem II

4-4-2
1 T. Didillon-Hödl G
33 T. St. Jago D
30 R. Behounek D
4 E. Schouten D
5 R. Sigurgeirsson D
7 N. Doodeman M
8 J. Bosch M
6 B. Lambert M
17 P. Joosten M
18 J. Bokila F
16 R. Meerveld F
Bench (9)
14 C. Sandra
21 A. Fatah
19 Y. Sylla
11 E. Kehrer
48 J. Mathijsen
51 U. van Aalst
24 C. van den Berg
15 M. Pivaš
41 M. Schut

Coach: P. Maes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,39
U
4,69
B
7,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,67
U2,5
2,14
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Manschot · 135 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.