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Europa League
Referee: N Minaković
Ferencvarosi TC
S S S T T
4–3
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ferencvarosi TC AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 9/7 matches
Win Ø 38%
33%
43%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
56%
43%
Both score Ø 51%
44%
57%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

1,70 xG 0,74
36% Possession 64%
11 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ferencvarosi TC AZ Alkmaar
7′
🟨 Kristijan Belić
1–0 M. Ben Romdhane ⚽
A. Traoré
9′
Barnabás Varga 🟨
12′
P. Rommens 🔁
↦ H. Maïga
30′
2–0 A. Traoré ⚽
A. Tóth
34′
3–0 M. Ben Romdhane ⚽
M. Abu Fani
45′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 J. Clasie
↦ K. Belić
46′
🔁 S. Maikuma
↦ D. Kasius
48′
🟨 Denso Kasius
63′
🔁 T. Parrott
↦ M. Lahdo
63′
🔁 S. Mijnans
↦ E. Poku
Cebrail Makreckis 🟨
66′
Mohammad Abu Fani ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
70′
K. Zachariassen 🔁
↦ A. Traoré
73′
Kady Borges 🔁
↦ M. Abu Fani
73′
76′
⚽ S. Mijnans 3–1
K. Smit
Kady Borges ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
81′
81′
🔁 Z. Buurmeester
↦ P. Koopmeiners
4–1 B. Varga ⚽
82′
Raul Gustavo 🔁
↦ M. Ben Romdhane
84′
Matheus Saldanha 🔁
↦ B. Varga
84′
90′
⚽ T. Parrott 4–2
S. Maikuma
95′
⚽ S. Mijnans 4–3
J. Clasie
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Ferencvarosi TC

4-2-3-1
1 Á. Varga G
25 Č. Makreckis D
27 I. Cissé D
3 S. Gartenmann D
17 E. Ćivić D
80 H. Maïga M
15 M. Abu Fani M
20 A. Traoré M
64 A. Tóth M
7 M. Ben Romdhane M
19 B. Varga F
Bench (12)
88 P. Rommens
16 K. Zachariassen
10 Kady Borges
34 Raul Gustavo
11 Matheus Saldanha
8 A. Pešić
54 N. Kaján
71 C. Lakatos
65 L. Őri
99 C. Ramírez
22 G. Szalai
30 Z. Gruber

Coach: R. Keane

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 R. Owusu-Oduro G
30 D. Kasius D
3 W. Goes D
22 M. Dekker D
34 M. de Wit D
26 K. Smit M
14 K. Belić M
6 P. Koopmeiners M
17 J. Addai F
21 E. Poku F
23 M. Lahdo F
Bench (12)
8 J. Clasie
16 S. Maikuma
9 T. Parrott
10 S. Mijnans
28 Z. Buurmeester
12 H. Verhulst
24 L. Schouten
35 M. Meerdink
4 B. Martins Indi
18 D. Møller Wolfe
41 J. Zoet
5 Alexandre Penetra

Coach: M. Martens

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Minaković · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.