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Champions League
Referee: C Turpin
Juventus
S U U U U
2–0
Full-time
Man City
T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Man City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,7
3,7
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
40%
80%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
2,4
4,0
Scored
1,4
2,6
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,13 xG 1,26
31% Possession 69%
10 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Juventus Man City
Half-time 1–0
1–0 D. Vlahović ⚽
K. Yıldız
53′
W. McKennie 🔁
↦ K. Thuram
69′
T. Weah 🔁
↦ Francisco Conceição
69′
2–0 W. McKennie ⚽
T. Weah
75′
79′
🔁 Savinho
↦ J. Doku
84′
🟨 Jack Grealish
S. Mbangula 🔁
↦ K. Yıldız
84′
Michele Di Gregorio 🟨
85′
Douglas Luiz 🔁
↦ D. Vlahović
85′
86′
🟨 Bernardo Silva
87′
🔁 Matheus Nunes
↦ J. Grealish
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Juventus

4-2-3-1
29 M. Di Gregorio G
37 N. Savona D
4 F. Gatti D
15 P. Kalulu D
6 Danilo D
5 M. Locatelli M
19 K. Thuram M
7 Francisco Conceição M
8 T. Koopmeiners M
10 K. Yıldız M
9 D. Vlahović F
Bench (9)
16 W. McKennie
22 T. Weah
51 S. Mbangula
26 Douglas Luiz
40 J. Rouhi
21 N. Fagioli
17 V. Adžić
1 M. Perin
23 C. Pinsoglio

Coach: T. Motta

Man City

4-2-3-1
31 Ederson G
2 K. Walker D
3 Rúben Dias D
24 J. Gvardiol D
82 R. Lewis D
19 İ. Gündoğan M
10 J. Grealish M
20 Bernardo Silva M
17 K. De Bruyne M
11 J. Doku M
9 E. Haaland F
Bench (11)
26 Savinho
27 Matheus Nunes
69 M. Hudson
66 J. Simpson-Pusey
18 S. Ortega
87 J. McAtee
47 P. Foden
97 J. Wilson-Esbrand
75 N. O'Reilly
8 M. Kovačić
56 J. Wright

Coach: Pep Guardiola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.