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Champions League
Referee: G Kruashvili
Stuttgart
S T U S S
5–1
Full-time
Young Boys
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Young Boys
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
4,2
3,8
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
2,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/7 matches
Win Ø 25%
20%
29%
Points per game
0,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
40%
71%
Both score Ø 52%
60%
43%
Average goals
3,0
3,6
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
2,2
2,7
Goal diff per game
-1,4
-1,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,31 xG 0,19
64% Possession 36%
20 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 0
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Stuttgart Young Boys
6′
⚽ Ł. Łakomy 0–1
A. Virginius
1–1 A. Stiller ⚽
J. Vagnoman
25′
Half-time 1–1
Y. Keitel 🔁
↦ A. Karazor
46′
2–1 E. Millot ⚽
F. Rieder
53′
58′
🟨 Loris Benito
60′
🟨 Jaouen Hadjam
3–1 C. Führich ⚽
F. Rieder
61′
62′
🔁 S. Ganvoula
↦ C. Itten
62′
🔁 D. Males
↦ K. Imeri
4–1 J. Vagnoman ⚽
E. Millot
66′
70′
🔁 L. Blum
↦ J. Hadjam
70′
🔁 P. Pfeiffer
↦ M. Camara
5–1 Y. Keitel ⚽
F. Rieder
75′
76′
🔁 E. Colley
↦ A. Virginius
J. Malanga 🔁
↦ C. Führich
77′
P. Stenzel 🔁
↦ J. Vagnoman
77′
A. Al Dakhil 🔁
↦ M. Mittelstädt
77′
L. Stergiou 🔁
↦ A. Rouault
83′
Fabian Rieder 🟨
86′
89′
🟨 Filip Ugrinić
90′
🟨 Łukasz Łakomy
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Stuttgart

4-2-3-1
33 A. Nübel G
4 J. Vagnoman D
29 A. Rouault D
24 J. Chabot D
7 M. Mittelstädt D
16 A. Karazor M
6 A. Stiller M
32 F. Rieder M
8 E. Millot M
27 C. Führich M
9 E. Demirović F
Bench (11)
5 Y. Keitel
47 J. Malanga
15 P. Stenzel
2 A. Al Dakhil
20 L. Stergiou
22 T. Kastanaras
45 A. Chase
41 D. Seimen
1 F. Bredlow
13 F. Krätzig
30 B. Boakye

Coach: S. Hoeneß

Young Boys

4-2-3-1
26 D. von Ballmoos G
24 Z. Athekame D
13 M. Camara D
23 L. Benito D
3 J. Hadjam D
7 F. Ugrinic M
8 Ł. Łakomy M
21 A. Virginius M
10 K. Imeri M
77 J. Monteiro M
9 C. Itten F
Bench (9)
35 S. Ganvoula
39 D. Males
27 L. Blum
6 P. Pfeiffer
11 E. Colley
30 S. Lauper
33 M. Keller
20 C. Niasse
40 D. Marzino

Coach: J. Magnin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Kruashvili · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.