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Champions League
Referee: Bence Csonka
Riga
S T T S T
3–2
Full-time
Ararat-Armenia
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Riga Ararat-Armenia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

53% Possession 47%
16 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 0
2 Corners 2
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Jul -26 Ararat-Armenia – Riga 2–0

Match report

Riga Ararat-Armenia
1–0 Iago Siqueira ⚽
M. Badamosi
14′
2–0 A. Ankrah ⚽
23′
34′
🟨 Edgar Grigoryan
Salah Oulad M'Hand 🟨
41′
Orlando Galo 🟨
44′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 A. Ambartsumyan
↦ E. Grigoryan
46′
⚽ Z. Shaghoyan 2–1
61′
🔁 Z. Banjaqui
↦ A. Tera
61′
🔁 Franca Carlos
↦ A. Serobyan
63′
⚽ Sandro Lima 2–2
Z. Banjaqui
Andrés Salazar 🟨
66′
Ahmed Ankrah 🟨
66′
66′
🟨 Zidane Banjaqui
Reginaldo Ramires 🔁
↦ S. Oulad M'Hand
69′
Caio Ferreira 🔁
↦ O. Galo
69′
70′
🟨 Hugo Oliveira
71′
🔁 Luis Felipe
↦ Z. Shaghoyan
Reginaldo Ramires 🟨
72′
K. Wassom 🔁
↦ R. Aouani
80′
A. Taiwo 🔁
↦ Iago Siqueira
80′
85′
🟨 Carlos França
A. Cernomordijs 🔁
↦ Paulo Eduardo
86′
87′
🔁 A. Ndour
↦ Sandro Lima
3–2 Reginaldo Ramires ⚽
90′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Riga

3-5-2
1 K. Zviedris G
13 R. Jurkovskis D
21 B. Musah D
33 Paulo Eduardo D
7 R. Aouani M
8 Iago Siqueira M
40 A. Ankrah M
4 O. Galo M
17 A. Salazar D
19 M. Badamosi F
18 S. Oulad M'Hand M
Bench (9)
44 M. Kazainis
3 Abner
5 K. Wassom
10 Reginaldo Ramires
22 M. Diop
23 M. Tonisevs
25 A. Taiwo
34 A. Cernomordijs
99 Caio Ferreira

Coach: Adrian Gula

Ararat-Armenia

4-3-3
98 Joao Bravim G
13 K. Hovhannisyan D
43 B. R. Wilson Valdez D
3 Junior Julio D
16 E. Grigoryan D
2 H. Oliveira D
20 A. Tera M
19 K. Muradyan M
77 A. Serobyan M
91 Sandro Lima F
7 Z. Shaghoyan M
Bench (11)
1 A. Nersesyan
5 Luis Felipe
6 M. Ayvazyan
9 A. Eloyan
10 A. Ambartsumyan
11 Z. Banjaqui
14 B. Pereira
17 M. Carlier
25 A. Ndour
90 P. Ayongo
95 Franca Carlos

Coach: Tulipa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.