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Eliteserien
Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen
Valerenga
S U U T T
1–1
Full-time
Stabaek
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Stabaek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 29%
31%
27%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
46%
54%
Both score Ø 50%
46%
54%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
12 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valerenga 11. · Stabaek 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 27 20 6 1 +42 66
2 Brann 27 13 6 8 +12 45
3 Odd 27 13 6 8 +8 45
4 Molde 27 12 6 9 +5 42
5 Haugesund 27 11 8 8 +3 41
6 Sarpsborg 08 27 11 8 8 -2 41
7 Viking 27 11 7 9 -1 40
8 Stromsgodset 27 10 7 10 +1 37
9 Sogndal 27 8 12 7 +1 36
10 Aalesund 27 10 5 12 -8 35
11 Valerenga 26 8 6 12 -3 30
12 Bodo/Glimt 27 8 6 13 -5 30
13 Tromso 27 8 6 13 -9 30
14 Lillestrom 27 7 8 12 -6 29
15 Stabaek 26 7 6 13 -6 27
16 Start 27 2 9 16 -32 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valerenga Stabaek
3′
M. Keita 0–1
H. Stengel 🔁
↦ S. Berge
29′
Half-time 0–1
Magnus Lekven 🟨
53′
D. Holm 🔁
↦ S. Juklerød
55′
64′
🔁 L. Kassi
↦ G. Gorozia
V. Sakor 🔁
↦ M. Lekven
70′
70′
🔁 M. Escoe
↦ S. Pedersen
83′
🔁 O. Omoijuanfo
↦ M. Njie
1–1 R. Lindkvist
84′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Valerenga

4-3-3
1 M. Sandberg G
4 J. Nation D
5 R. Lundström D
6 S. Larsen D
8 M. Lekven M
19 C. Grindheim F
10 G. Zahid M
21 S. Juklerød D
23 S. Berge M
9 R. Lindkvist M
20 H. Johansen F
Bench (7)
14 H. Stengel
7 D. Holm
16 V. Sakor
15 M. Nakkim
28 T. Elsebutangen
29 M. Grødem
30 A. Falch

Coach: K. Rekdal

Stabaek

4-1-4-1
1 M. Sayouba G
3 M. Skjønsberg D
4 M. Nilsson
16 A. Hanche-Olsen D
25 B. Meling D
18 J. Moe D
77 M. Keita M
8 C. Grossman M
9 G. Gorozia
11 M. Njie M
98 S. Pedersen F
Bench (7)
28 L. Kassi
7 M. Escoe
99 O. Omoijuanfo
10 A. Mehmeti
22 G. Singh
32 Alanzinho
60 E. Race

Coach: B. McKinlay

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Svein Oddvar Moen · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.