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Ligue 2
Referee: Benoît Bastien
Bastia
T S T S T
0–2
Full-time
Laval
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Laval
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 11%
7%
14%
Points per game
0,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 21%
21%
21%
Both score Ø 33%
29%
36%
Average goals
1,7
1,9
Scored
0,4
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%
9 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 23
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bastia 18. · Laval 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 15 9 4 2 +13 31
2 St Etienne 15 9 2 4 +11 29
3 Red Star 15 8 4 3 +6 28
4 Reims 15 7 4 4 +8 25
5 Le Mans 15 6 6 3 +3 24
6 Montpellier 15 7 3 5 +3 24
7 Guingamp 15 6 5 4 -1 23
8 Pau FC 15 6 5 4 -2 23
9 Dunkerque 15 5 6 4 +8 21
10 Annecy 15 5 4 6 +1 19
11 Clermont 15 4 6 5 -4 18
12 Grenoble 15 4 5 6 -3 17
13 Rodez 15 4 5 6 -6 17
14 Amiens 15 4 3 8 -5 15
15 Boulogne 15 4 3 8 -7 15
16 Nancy 15 4 3 8 -7 15
17 Laval 14 2 6 6 -6 12
18 Bastia 14 1 4 9 -12 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bastia Laval
12′
🟨 Julien Maggiotti
20′
🟨 William Bianda
Noah Zilliox 🟨
27′
39′
L. Samb 0–1
42′
🟨 William Benard
Half-time 0–2
58′
M. Tchokounte 0–2
A. Boutrah 🔁
↦ L. Etoga
62′
Tom Meynadier 🟨
63′
70′
🔁 T. Vargas
↦ J. Maggiotti
M. Ble 🔁
↦ J. Janneh
73′
C. Vincent 🔁
↦ F. Tomi
74′
A. Zaouai 🔁
↦ J. Sebas
74′
77′
🔁 E. Montet
↦ W. Benard
78′
🔁 E. Clavreul
↦ M. Tchokounte
Matteo Petrignani 🟨
82′
A. Aiki 🔁
↦ I. Karamoko
83′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Bastia

3-1-4-2
30 J. Placide G
12 N. Zilliox D
6 D. Guidi D
5 Z. Ariss D
66 J. Janneh M
24 T. Meynadier M
29 L. Etoga M
33 M. Petrignani M
9 F. Tomi M
14 J. Sebas F
8 I. Karamoko F
Bench (7)
1 L. Olmeta
2 D. Basset
7 C. Vincent
18 A. Zaouai
25 A. Aiki
11 M. Ble
10 A. Boutrah

Coach: Benoit Tavenot

Laval

3-4-1-2
30 M. Samassa G
4 P. Ouaneh D
3 W. Bianda D
2 T. Pellenard D
6 S. Sanna M
14 C. Mandouki M
26 W. Benard M
35 L. Samb M
28 J. Maggiotti F
9 M. Camara F
18 M. Tchokounte F
Bench (7)
1 M. Hautbois
21 Y. Aradj
7 T. Vargas
20 E. Clavreul
25 E. Montet
10 M. Sellouki
34 E. Maddy

Coach: Olivier Frapolli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,11
U
2,98
B ✓
3,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,48
U2,5 ✓
1,49
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Benoît Bastien · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.