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Champions League
Referee: S Vincic
Chelsea
S S U S S
3–0
Full-time
Barcelona
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chelsea Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,3
5,0
Scored
2,2
3,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
75%
100%
Both score Ø 88%
75%
100%
Average goals
3,8
4,8
Scored
2,3
3,0
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,89 xG 0,79
56% Possession 44%
15 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 0
6 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Chelsea Barcelona
0–1 J. Kounde ⚽
own goal
27′
32′
🟨 Ronald Araújo
Malo Gusto 🟨
40′
44′
🟨 Ronald Araújo
44′
🟥 Ronald Araújo
Half-time 0–1
Andrey Santos 🔁
↦ M. Gusto
46′
46′
🔁 M. Rashford
↦ F. Torres
1–1 Estevao ⚽
R. James
55′
L. Delap 🔁
↦ A. Garnacho
59′
62′
🔁 Raphinha
↦ R. Lewandowski
62′
🔁 A. Christensen
↦ Fermín
2–1 L. Delap ⚽
E. Fernandez
73′
Liam Delap ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
75′
J. Gittens 🔁
↦ P. Neto
76′
80′
🔁 G. Martin
↦ A. Balde
80′
🔁 D. Olmo
↦ Lamine Yamal
T. George 🔁
↦ Estêvão
82′
J. Acheampong 🔁
↦ R. James
82′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Chelsea

4-2-3-1
1 R. Sanchez G
27 M. Gusto D
29 W. Fofana D
23 T. Chalobah D
3 M. Cucurella D
24 R. James M
25 M. Caicedo M
41 Estêvão M
8 E. Fernandez M
49 A. Garnacho M
7 P. Neto F
Bench (12)
12 F. Jorgensen
4 T. Adarabioyo
5 B. Badiashile
9 L. Delap
11 J. Gittens
17 Andrey Santos
20 Joao Pedro
21 J. Hato
32 T. George
34 J. Acheampong
38 M. Guiu
40 F. Buonanotte

Coach: Liam Rosenior

Barcelona

4-2-3-1
13 J. Garcia G
23 J. Kounde D
4 R. Araujo D
5 P. Cubarsi D
3 A. Balde D
24 E. Garcia M
21 F. de Jong M
10 Lamine Yamal M
16 Fermín M
7 F. Torres M
9 R. Lewandowski F
Bench (11)
25 W. Szczesny
31 D. Kochen
11 Raphinha
14 M. Rashford
15 A. Christensen
17 M. Casado
18 G. Martin
20 D. Olmo
22 M. Bernal
27 D. Fernandez
28 R. Bardghji

Coach: Hansi Flick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Vincic · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.