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Champions League
Referee: U Schnyder
Barcelona
S S T T S
6–1
Full-time
Olympiakos
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,0
Scored
1,5
0,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,48 xG 1,00
73% Possession 27%
14 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Barcelona Olympiakos
1–0 Fermin ⚽
Lamine Yamal
7′
Alejandro Balde 🟨
23′
31′
🔁 D. Nascimento
↦ Chiquinho
35′
🟨 Santiago Hezze
39′
🟨 Dani García
2–0 Fermin ⚽
D. Fernandez
39′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 C. Mouzakitis
↦ G. Martins
52′
ℹ️ Ayoub El Kaabi
VAR: Goal cancelled
53′
🔁 B. Onyemaechi
↦ F. Ortega
53′
⚽ A. El Kaabi 2–1
55′
🟨 Daniel Podence
57′
🟨 Santiago Hezze
57′
🟥 Santiago Hezze
F. de Jong 🔁
↦ D. Fernandez
59′
Marcus Rashford ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
66′
3–1 Lamine Yamal ⚽
68′
4–1 M. Rashford ⚽
A. Balde
74′
R. Araujo 🔁
↦ J. Kounde
75′
G. Martin 🔁
↦ A. Balde
75′
R. Bardghji 🔁
↦ Lamine Yamal
75′
5–1 Fermin ⚽
R. Bardghji
76′
77′
🔁 R. Yaremchuk
↦ D. Podence
77′
🔁 M. Taremi
↦ A. El Kaabi
6–1 M. Rashford ⚽
Pedri
79′
M. Bernal 🔁
↦ Pedri
80′
Full-time 6–1

Line-ups

Barcelona

4-2-3-1
25 W. Szczesny G
23 J. Kounde D
5 P. Cubarsi D
24 E. Garcia D
3 A. Balde D
17 M. Casado M
8 Pedri M
10 Lamine Yamal M
16 Fermín M
27 D. Fernandez M
14 M. Rashford F
Bench (12)
31 D. Kochen
33 E. Aller
4 R. Araujo
7 F. Torres
18 G. Martin
21 F. de Jong
22 M. Bernal
26 J. Torrents
28 R. Bardghji
29 T. Fernandez
41 J. Hernandez
42 X. Espart

Coach: Hansi Flick

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
20 Costinha D
45 P. Retsos D
5 L. Pirola D
3 F. Ortega D
32 S. Hezze M
14 D. Garcia M
10 G. Martins M
22 Chiquinho M
56 D. Podence M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (12)
1 A. Paschalakis
61 G. Kouraklis
4 G. Biancone
6 A. Kalogeropoulos
8 D. Nascimento
11 R. Yaremchuk
16 L. Scipioni
27 G. Strefezza
70 B. Onyemaechi
80 S. Pnevmonidis
96 C. Mouzakitis
99 M. Taremi

Coach: Luis Mendilibar Jose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

U Schnyder · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.