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Bundesliga
Referee: D Siebert
Leverkusen
U S U U S
0–0
Full-time
Stuttgart
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
50%
38%
Points per game
1,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
88%
88%
Both score Ø 94%
100%
88%
Average goals
4,4
4,1
Scored
2,5
2,1
Conceded
1,9
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,19 xG 0,28
52% Possession 48%
19 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 2
9 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leverkusen 3. · Stuttgart 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 8 6 2 0 +22 +13.9 20
2 RB Leipzig 8 6 2 0 +11 +2.9 20
3 Leverkusen 8 4 3 1 +5 +7.1 15
4 Union Berlin 8 4 3 1 +4 -0.3 15
5 Freiburg 8 5 0 3 +2 +4.4 15
6 Ein Frankfurt 8 4 2 2 +4 +1.0 14
7 Dortmund 8 4 1 3 +1 +2.8 13
8 Stuttgart 8 3 3 2 +1 +3.4 12
9 Werder Bremen 8 3 3 2 -2 +0.2 12
10 Heidenheim 8 3 1 4 +1 +1.0 10
11 M'gladbach 8 3 1 4 -2 -0.6 10
12 Augsburg 8 3 1 4 -7 -0.9 10
13 Mainz 8 2 3 3 -1 -4.3 9
14 Wolfsburg 8 2 2 4 -1 -2.0 8
15 Hoffenheim 8 2 2 4 -4 -7.6 8
16 St Pauli 8 1 2 5 -6 -4.8 5
17 Holstein Kiel 8 0 2 6 -13 -6.5 2
18 Bochum 8 0 1 7 -15 -9.6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leverkusen Stuttgart
8′
🔁 F. Rieder
↦ J. Leweling
Robert Andrich 🟨
30′
Nordi Mukiele 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
Granit Xhaka 🟨
51′
52′
🟨 Atakan Karazor
J. Hofmann 🔁
↦ N. Mukiele
54′
56′
🟨 Enzo Millot
58′
🔁 C. Führich
↦ F. Rieder
58′
🔁 R. Hendriks
↦ M. Mittelstädt
68′
🟨 Angelo Stiller
68′
🟨 Anrie Chase
80′
🔁 A. Al Dakhil
↦ E. Touré
80′
🔁 E. Demirović
↦ E. Millot
E. Palacios 🔁
↦ R. Andrich
86′
N. Tella 🔁
↦ J. Frimpong
86′
P. Schick 🔁
↦ V. Boniface
86′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Leverkusen

3-4-2-1
1 L. Hrádecký G
4 J. Tah D
12 E. Tapsoba D
3 P. Hincapié D
23 N. Mukiele M
8 R. Andrich M
34 G. Xhaka M
20 Álex Grimaldo M
30 J. Frimpong F
10 F. Wirtz F
22 V. Boniface F
Bench (9)
7 J. Hofmann
25 E. Palacios
19 N. Tella
14 P. Schick
17 M. Kovář
36 N. Lomb
40 F. Onyeka
24 Aleix García
13 Arthur

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Stuttgart

4-4-2
33 A. Nübel G
4 J. Vagnoman D
45 A. Chase D
29 A. Rouault D
7 M. Mittelstädt D
18 J. Leweling M
16 A. Karazor M
6 A. Stiller M
8 E. Millot M
26 D. Undav F
10 E. Touré F
Bench (9)
32 F. Rieder
27 C. Führich
3 R. Hendriks
2 A. Al Dakhil
9 E. Demirović
15 P. Stenzel
11 N. Woltemade
13 F. Krätzig
1 F. Bredlow

Coach: S. Hoeneß

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,56
U ✓
4,80
B
5,16
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,36
U2,5 ✓
3,15
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.