← Match Finder
Champions League
Referee: M Guida
Ath Madrid
S U T U S
1–3
Full-time
Lille
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Ath Madrid Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
2,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,35 xG 1,30
62% Possession 38%
11 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ath Madrid Lille
1–0 J. Alvarez ⚽
8′
16′
🔁 E. Zhegrova
↦ R. Cabella
Javi Galán 🟨
17′
44′
🟨 Ousmane Touré
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 B. Diakité
↦ O. Touré
61′
⚽ E. Zhegrova 1–1
T. Meunier
Á. Correa 🔁
↦ A. Sørloth
65′
65′
🔁 J. David
↦ M. Bayo
74′
⚽ J. David 1–2
Samuel Lino 🔁
↦ C. Gallagher
77′
Reinildo 🔁
↦ Javi Galán
77′
G. Simeone 🔁
↦ N. Molina
77′
José María Giménez 🟨
78′
78′
🟨 Thomas Meunier
87′
🔁 A. Gomes
↦ N. Mukau
Axel Witsel 🟨
88′
88′
🔁 O. Sahraoui
↦ M. Fernandez-Pardo
89′
⚽ J. David 1–3
G. Gudmundsson
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

4-3-3
13 J. Oblak G
16 N. Molina D
20 A. Witsel D
2 J. Giménez D
21 Javi Galán D
5 R. De Paul M
6 Koke M
4 C. Gallagher M
7 A. Griezmann F
9 A. Sørloth F
19 J. Alvarez F
Bench (10)
10 Á. Correa
12 Samuel Lino
23 Reinildo
22 G. Simeone
27 I. Kostis
11 T. Lemar
17 Rodrigo Riquelme
1 J. Musso
31 Antonio Gomis
28 Aitor Gismera

Coach: D. Simeone

Lille

3-4-2-1
30 L. Chevalier G
36 O. Touré D
2 A. Mandi D
4 Alexsandro Ribeiro D
12 T. Meunier M
17 N. Mukau M
21 B. André M
5 G. Gudmundsson M
10 R. Cabella F
19 M. Fernandez-Pardo
27 M. Bayo F
Bench (8)
23 E. Zhegrova
18 B. Diakité
9 J. David
8 A. Gomes
11 O. Sahraoui
1 V. Mannone
16 M. Caillard
37 M. Costarelli

Coach: B. Génésio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Guida · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.