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Champions League
Referee: S Vinčić
Arsenal
S U U S S
2–0
Full-time
Paris SG
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
2,2
2,8
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
0,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

0,76 xG 0,31
35% Possession 65%
6 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Arsenal Paris SG
1–0 K. Havertz ⚽
L. Trossard
20′
2–0 B. Saka ⚽
35′
Half-time 2–0
J. Kiwior 🔁
↦ J. Timber
46′
Mikel Merino 🔁
↦ T. Partey
64′
64′
🔁 Fabián Ruiz
↦ Vitinha
64′
🔁 R. Kolo Muani
↦ D. Doué
Gabriel Jesus 🔁
↦ L. Trossard
74′
Riccardo Calafiori 🟨
76′
76′
🟨 Fabián Ruiz
M. Lewis-Skelly 🔁
↦ B. Saka
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Arsenal

4-4-2
22 David Raya G
12 J. Timber D
2 W. Saliba D
6 Gabriel Magalhães D
33 R. Calafiori D
7 B. Saka M
5 T. Partey M
41 D. Rice M
11 Gabriel Martinelli M
29 K. Havertz F
19 L. Trossard F
Bench (12)
15 J. Kiwior
23 Mikel Merino
9 Gabriel Jesus
49 M. Lewis-Skelly
20 Jorginho
47 M. Kacurri
30 R. Sterling
37 N. Butler-Oyedeji
53 E. Nwaneri
61 J. Robinson
32 Neto
92 J. Porter

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Paris SG

4-3-3
1 G. Donnarumma G
2 A. Hakimi D
5 Marquinhos D
51 W. Pacho D
25 Nuno Mendes D
33 W. Zaïre-Emery M
17 Vitinha M
87 João Neves M
14 D. Doué F
19 Lee Kang-In F
29 B. Barcola F
Bench (11)
8 Fabián Ruiz
23 R. Kolo Muani
42 Y. Zague
35 Beraldo
37 M. Škriniar
45 N. El Hannach
49 I. Mbaye
39 M. Safonov
24 S. Mayulu
80 Arnau Tenas
11 Marco Asensio

Coach: Luis Enrique

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Vinčić · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.