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Conference League
Referee: Ə Ağayev
Dinamo Zagreb
T S S S U
2–0
Full-time
PAOK
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dinamo Zagreb PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 8/12 matches
Win Ø 63%
50%
75%
Points per game
1,6
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
25%
83%
Both score Ø 46%
25%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,4
Scored
1,5
2,4
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,64 xG 0,40
40% Possession 60%
13 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Dinamo Zagreb PAOK
1–0 B. Petković ⚽
37′
Half-time 1–0
G. Vidović 🔁
↦ A. Hoxha
46′
Gabriel Vidović 🟨
47′
61′
🔁 K. Despodov
↦ Brandon Thomas
62′
🟨 Magomed Ozdoev
69′
🔁 T. Murg
↦ G. Konstantelias
69′
🔁 S. Schwab
↦ M. Ozdoev
2–0 B. Petković ⚽
D. Špikić
71′
T. Kaneko 🔁
↦ D. Špikić
73′
76′
🟨 Thomas Murg
83′
🔁 S. Tzimas
↦ A. Živković
Petar Sučić 🟨
86′
S. Kulenović 🔁
↦ B. Petković
89′
92′
🟨 Kiril Despodov
T. Halilović 🔁
↦ M. Baturina
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Dinamo Zagreb

4-2-3-1
33 I. Nevistić G
13 S. Ristovski D
6 M. Bernauer D
28 K. Théophile-Catherine D
39 M. Perković D
25 P. Sučić M
27 J. Mišić M
77 D. Špikić M
10 M. Baturina M
20 A. Hoxha M
9 B. Petković F
Bench (9)
72 G. Vidović
30 T. Kaneko
17 S. Kulenović
23 T. Halilović
1 D. Zagorac
15 M. Živković
4 B. Šutalo
45 I. Cvetko
36 L. Vrbančić

Coach: S. Jakirović

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
19 Jonny D
16 T. Kędziora D
4 K. Koulierakis D
21 A. Baba D
8 S. Meïté M
27 M. Ozdoev M
14 A. Živković M
7 G. Konstantelias M
11 Taison M
71 Brandon Thomas F
Bench (10)
77 K. Despodov
10 T. Murg
22 S. Schwab
95 S. Tzimas
76 P. Panagiotou
88 Marcos Antônio
20 Vieirinha
41 D. Monastirlis
64 C. Talichmanidis
6 T. Tsingaras

Coach: R. Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Ə Ağayev · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.