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Champions League
Referee: T Stieler
Feyenoord
S S T S S
3–1
Full-time
Lazio
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
2,8
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,10 xG 2,29
46% Possession 54%
15 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 0
3 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 8
5 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Feyenoord Lazio
Santiago Giménez ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
26′
28′
🟨 Nicolò Rovella
Bart Nieuwkoop 🟨
30′
1–0 S. Giménez
M. Wieffer
31′
Santiago Giménez 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Nicolò Casale
M. López 🔁
↦ B. Nieuwkoop
46′
46′
🔁 M. Lazzari
↦ E. Hysaj
46′
🔁 M. Guendouzi
↦ N. Rovella
2–0 R. Zerrouki
C. Stengs
47′
Marcos López 🟨
48′
55′
🔁 V. Castellanos
↦ C. Immobile
Quilindschy Hartman 🟨
58′
61′
🟨 Alessio Romagnoli
65′
🟨 Matías Vecino
68′
🔁 Pedro
↦ Felipe Anderson
A. Jahanbakhsh 🔁
↦ Igor Paixão
71′
3–0 S. Giménez
74′
L. Ivanušec 🔁
↦ C. Stengs
78′
78′
🔁 D. Cataldi
↦ M. Vecino
A. Ueda 🔁
↦ S. Giménez
79′
83′
Pedro 3–1
87′
🟨 Mattia Zaccagni
O. Lingr 🔁
↦ R. Zerrouki
89′
90′
🟨 Mattéo Guendouzi
Lutsharel Geertruida 🟨
95′
95′
🟨 Valentin Castellanos
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-3-3
1 J. Bijlow G
2 B. Nieuwkoop D
4 L. Geertruida D
33 D. Hancko D
5 Q. Hartman D
20 M. Wieffer M
6 R. Zerrouki M
8 Q. Timber M
10 C. Stengs F
29 S. Giménez F
14 Igor Paixão F
Bench (11)
15 M. López
7 A. Jahanbakhsh
17 L. Ivanušec
9 A. Ueda
32 O. Lingr
31 K. Lamprou
27 A. Milambo
11 J. Dilrosun
22 T. Wellenreuther
16 T. van den Belt
3 T. Beelen

Coach: A. Slot

Lazio

4-3-3
94 I. Provedel G
23 E. Hysaj D
15 N. Casale D
13 A. Romagnoli D
77 A. Marušić D
5 M. Vecino M
65 N. Rovella M
10 Luis Alberto M
7 Felipe Anderson F
17 C. Immobile F
20 M. Zaccagni F
Bench (12)
29 M. Lazzari
8 M. Guendouzi
19 V. Castellanos
9 Pedro
32 D. Cataldi
3 L. Pellegrini
34 Mario Gila
6 D. Kamada
33 L. Sepe
4 Patric
53 F. Magro
18 G. Isaksen

Coach: M. Sarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.