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Champions League
Referee: Artur Soares Dias
Newcastle
S S S U S
0–1
Full-time
Dortmund
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Newcastle Dortmund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,3
Scored
3,5
1,5
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,5
1,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,08 xG 1,79
60% Possession 40%
12 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 9
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Newcastle Dortmund
C. Wilson 🔁
↦ A. Isak
15′
35′
🟨 Marius Wolf
43′
🔁 S. Özcan
↦ E. Can
45′
⚽ F. Nmecha 0–1
N. Schlotterbeck
Half-time 0–1
63′
🔁 K. Adeyemi
↦ M. Reus
J. Murphy 🔁
↦ Joelinton
65′
S. Tonali 🔁
↦ S. Longstaff
65′
J. Willock 🔁
↦ J. Murphy
70′
M. Targett 🔁
↦ D. Burn
70′
Bruno Guimarães 🟨
79′
79′
🔁 G. Reyna
↦ F. Nmecha
79′
🔁 N. Süle
↦ D. Malen
79′
🔁 S. Haller
↦ N. Füllkrug
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Newcastle

4-3-3
22 N. Pope G
2 K. Trippier D
6 J. Lascelles D
5 F. Schär D
33 D. Burn D
36 S. Longstaff M
39 Bruno Guimarães M
7 Joelinton M
24 M. Almirón F
14 A. Isak F
10 A. Gordon F
Bench (10)
9 C. Wilson
23 J. Murphy
8 S. Tonali
28 J. Willock
13 M. Targett
3 P. Dummett
20 L. Hall
1 M. Dúbravka
21 T. Livramento
18 L. Karius

Coach: E. Howe

Dortmund

4-3-3
1 G. Kobel G
17 M. Wolf D
15 M. Hummels D
4 N. Schlotterbeck D
5 R. Bensebaïni D
20 M. Sabitzer M
23 E. Can M
8 F. Nmecha M
21 D. Malen F
14 N. Füllkrug F
11 M. Reus F
Bench (10)
6 S. Özcan
27 K. Adeyemi
7 G. Reyna
25 N. Süle
9 S. Haller
43 J. Bynoe-Gittens
18 Y. Moukoko
33 A. Meyer
35 M. Lotka
42 H. Blank

Coach: E. Terzić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

Artur Soares Dias · 181 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.