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Champions League
Referee: A Taylor
Porto
U S S S T
0–1
Full-time
Barcelona
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,8
Scored
1,5
3,0
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
4,0
5,0
Scored
3,0
5,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+5,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,67 xG 1,29
44% Possession 56%
13 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Porto Barcelona
13′
🟨 João Cancelo
Fábio Cardoso 🟨
28′
29′
🟨 Ronald Araújo
34′
🔁 Ferran Torres
↦ R. Lewandowski
36′
🟨 Gavi
Half-time 0–1
46′
⚽ Ferran Torres 0–1
İ. Gündoğan
47′
🟨 Jules Koundé
50′
🟨 João Félix
Evanilson 🔁
↦ Romário Baró
64′
69′
🔁 Sergi Roberto
↦ Oriol Romeu
69′
🔁 Fermín
↦ João Félix
Stephen Eustaquio ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
79′
80′
🔁 Marcos Alonso
↦ Lamine Yamal
Nico González 🔁
↦ João Mário
85′
Francisco Conceição 🔁
↦ A. Varela
85′
D. Namaso 🔁
↦ M. Taremi
85′
Iván Jaime 🔁
↦ Galeno
85′
86′
🟨 Sergi Roberto
93′
🟨 Gavi
93′
🟥 Gavi
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Porto

4-4-2
99 Diogo Costa G
23 João Mário D
2 Fábio Cardoso D
4 David Carmo D
18 Wendell D
28 Romário Baró M
22 A. Varela M
6 S. Eustáquio M
13 Galeno M
11 Pepê Aquino F
9 M. Taremi F
Bench (12)
30 Evanilson
16 Nico González
10 Francisco Conceição
19 D. Namaso
17 Iván Jaime
14 Cláudio Ramos
15 J. Sánchez
21 Fran Navarro
29 Toni Martínez
20 André Franco
8 M. Grujić
70 Gonçalo Borges

Coach: Sérgio Conceição

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
2 João Cancelo D
4 R. Araujo D
23 J. Koundé D
3 Alejandro Balde D
22 İ. Gündoğan M
18 Oriol Romeu M
6 Gavi M
27 Lamine Yamal F
9 R. Lewandowski F
14 João Félix F
Bench (9)
7 Ferran Torres
20 Sergi Roberto
32 Fermín
17 Marcos Alonso
26 Ander Astralaga
15 A. Christensen
5 Iñigo Martínez
30 Marc Casadó
13 Iñaki Peña

Coach: Xavi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Taylor · 215 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.