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Champions League
Referee: S Vinčić
Lazio
S T T S T
1–1
Full-time
Ath Madrid
U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,22 xG 0,87
49% Possession 51%
19 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
11 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lazio Ath Madrid
26′
🟨 Antoine Griezmann
29′
⚽ Pablo Barrios 0–1
N. Molina
M. Lazzari 🔁
↦ L. Pellegrini
38′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 J. Giménez
↦ Pablo Barrios
M. Guendouzi 🔁
↦ D. Kamada
62′
G. Isaksen 🔁
↦ Felipe Anderson
62′
67′
🟨 Samuel Lino
75′
🔁 Á. Correa
↦ A. Witsel
Pedro 🔁
↦ M. Zaccagni
76′
D. Cataldi 🔁
↦ M. Vecino
76′
79′
🔁 Rodrigo Riquelme
↦ Samuel Lino
Patric 🟨
83′
Ciro Immobile 🟨
84′
94′
🟨 Ángel Correa
1–1 I. Provedel ⚽
Luis Alberto
95′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lazio

4-3-3
94 I. Provedel G
77 A. Marušić D
4 Patric D
13 A. Romagnoli D
3 L. Pellegrini D
6 D. Kamada M
5 M. Vecino M
10 Luis Alberto M
7 Felipe Anderson F
17 C. Immobile F
20 M. Zaccagni F
Bench (12)
29 M. Lazzari
8 M. Guendouzi
18 G. Isaksen
9 Pedro
32 D. Cataldi
65 N. Rovella
23 E. Hysaj
19 V. Castellanos
34 Mario Gila
59 D. Renzetti
15 N. Casale
33 L. Sepe

Coach: M. Sarri

Ath Madrid

5-3-2
13 J. Oblak G
16 N. Molina D
15 S. Savić D
20 A. Witsel D
22 Hermoso D
12 Samuel Lino D
14 Marcos Llorente M
24 Pablo Barrios M
8 Saúl M
7 A. Griezmann F
19 Álvaro Morata F
Bench (11)
2 J. Giménez
10 Á. Correa
25 Rodrigo Riquelme
1 I. Grbić
40 Sergio Guerrero
3 César Azpilicueta
17 Javi Galán
27 I. Kostis
31 Antonio Gomis
36 Álex Calatrava
30 S. El Jebari

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Vinčić · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.