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La Liga
Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez
Sevilla
U U T U T
1–2
Full-time
Valencia
S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,72 xG 1,12
55% Possession 45%
9 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Apr -23 Valencia – Sevilla 0–2 18. Oct -22 Sevilla – Valencia 1–1 19. Jan -22 Valencia – Sevilla 1–1 22. Sep -21 Sevilla – Valencia 3–1 12. May -21 Sevilla – Valencia 1–0

Match report

Sevilla Valencia
10′
🟨 Mouctar Diakhaby
Ivan Rakitić 🟨
14′
16′
🟨 Cenk Özkaçar
Nemanja Gudelj 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
Óliver Torres 🔁
↦ Erik Lamela
56′
60′
⚽ Mouctar Diakhaby 0–1
André Almeida
61′
🔁 Javier Guerra
↦ André Almeida
61′
🔁 Dimitri Foulquier
↦ Fran Pérez
65′
🔁 Pablo Gozálbez
↦ Diego Lopez Noguerol
1–1 Youssef En-Nesyri ⚽
Suso
69′
Juanlu Sánchez 🔁
↦ Jesús Navas
69′
Djibril Sow 🔁
↦ Fernando
69′
Loïc Badé 🟥
81′
Federico Gattoni 🔁
↦ Youssef En-Nesyri
82′
87′
🔁 Jesús Vázquez
↦ José Luis Gayà
88′
⚽ Javier Guerra 1–2
Hugo Duro
Marcos Acuña 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sevilla

4-2-3-1
13 Bono G
16 Jesús Navas D
22 Loïc Badé D
6 Nemanja Gudelj D
19 Marcos Acuña D
20 Fernando M
10 Ivan Rakitić M
5 Lucas Ocampos M
7 Suso M
17 Erik Lamela M
15 Youssef En-Nesyri F
Bench (12)
21 Óliver Torres
18 Djibril Sow
26 Juanlu Sánchez
2 Federico Gattoni
1 Marko Dmitrović
4 Gonzalo Montiel
3 Adrià Pedrosa
8 Joan Jordán
24 Papu Gómez
28 Manu Bueno
11 Jesús Corona
9 Rafa Mir

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar

Valencia

4-4-2
25 Giorgi Mamardashvili G
12 Thierry Correia D
5 Gabriel Paulista D
15 Cenk Özkaçar D
14 José Luis Gayà D
23 Fran Pérez M
4 Mouctar Diakhaby M
18 Pepelu M
16 Diego Lopez Noguerol M
10 André Almeida F
9 Hugo Duro F
Bench (11)
20 Dimitri Foulquier
8 Javier Guerra
27 Pablo Gozálbez
21 Jesús Vázquez
13 Cristian Rivero
1 Jaume Doménech
29 César Tárrega
31 Ruben Iranzo Lendinez
30 Hugo González
32 Martín Tejón
6 Hugo Guillamón

Coach: Rubén Baraja

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,93
🔒
U
3,40
🔒
B ✓
4,33
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,29
🔒
U2,5
1,64
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.