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Champions League
Referee: F Zwayer
Sp Braga
T S T S S
2–1
Full-time
Panathinaikos
U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,3
This season — Champions League · 2/4 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
100%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
3,5
1,8
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
17 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sp Braga Panathinaikos
8′
🟨 Filip Đuričić
Bruma ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
18′
André Horta 🔁
↦ Al Musrati
36′
Half-time 0–0
Sikou Niakaté 🟨
50′
1–0 Abel Ruiz ⚽
Ricardo Horta
51′
José Fonte 🟨
53′
65′
🔁 Bernard
↦ F. Đuričić
65′
🔁 F. Ioannidis
↦ A. Šporar
Álvaro Djaló 🔁
↦ Pizzi
66′
2–0 Álvaro Djaló ⚽
Ricardo Horta
73′
76′
🔁 Aitor Cantalapiedra
↦ S. Palacios
76′
🔁 A. Čerin
↦ T. Vilhena
82′
🔁 Willian Arão
↦ Rubén Pérez
84′
🟨 Willian Arão
86′
🟨 Alberto Brignoli
Rony Lopes 🔁
↦ Ricardo Horta
86′
Castro 🔁
↦ Bruma
86′
S. Banza 🔁
↦ Abel Ruiz
86′
95′
⚽ D. Mancini 2–1
F. Ioannidis
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sp Braga

4-2-3-1
1 Matheus G
2 Víctor Gómez D
6 José Fonte D
4 S. Niakaté D
19 Adrián Marín D
8 Al Musrati M
18 Vitor Carvalho M
21 Ricardo Horta M
22 Pizzi M
7 Bruma M
9 Abel Ruiz F
Bench (12)
10 André Horta
14 Álvaro Djaló
20 Rony Lopes
88 Castro
23 S. Banza
16 R. Zalazar
90 D. Soumaré
5 S. Saatçı
91 L. Horníček
12 Tiago Sá
15 Paulo Oliveira
17 J. Mendes

Coach: Artur Jorge

Panathinaikos

4-3-3
91 A. Brignoli G
2 G. Vagiannidis D
21 T. Jedvaj D
23 H. Magnússon D
3 Juankar D
4 Rubén Pérez M
31 F. Đuričić M
52 T. Vilhena M
34 S. Palacios F
9 A. Šporar F
17 D. Mancini F
Bench (12)
10 Bernard
7 F. Ioannidis
22 Aitor Cantalapiedra
16 A. Čerin
55 Willian Arão
15 V. Xenopoulos
24 G. Sideras
27 G. Kotsiras
5 B. Schenkeveld
77 B. Verbič
12 Y. Lodygin
25 F. Mladenović

Coach: I. Jovanović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.