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Eliteserien

Referee: Tommy Skjerven

Aalesund

U T T U T

2–0

Full-time

Lillestrom

U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,0

3,5

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

2,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-0,8

This season — Eliteserien · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 24%

18%

29%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

53%

65%

Both score Ø 62%

53%

71%

Average goals

3,1

3,2

Scored

1,1

1,6

Conceded

1,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%

18 Shots 19

6 Shots on target 5

9 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 9

3 Offside 1

5 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aalesund 15. · Lillestrom 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	17	12	4	1	+27	40
2	Odd	17	10	4	3	+11	34
3	Stromsgodset	17	10	2	5	+9	32
4	Sarpsborg 08	18	9	4	5	+2	31
5	Brann	17	9	3	5	+9	30
6	Haugesund	17	8	4	5	+3	28
7	Viking	17	8	3	6	-1	27
8	Molde	17	7	4	6	+2	25
9	Sogndal	17	5	8	4	+1	23
10	Lillestrom	17	5	5	7	-1	20
11	Bodo/Glimt	17	5	4	8	-2	19
12	Tromso	17	4	6	7	-8	18
13	Valerenga	17	4	3	10	-7	15
14	Stabaek	17	4	3	10	-7	15
15	Aalesund	17	3	4	10	-14	13
16	Start	18	0	7	11	-24	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	9	9	0	0	+23	27
2	Stromsgodset	9	8	1	0	+15	25
3	Brann	8	7	1	0	+15	22
4	Odd	9	6	2	1	+9	20
5	Haugesund	8	5	3	0	+11	18
6	Sarpsborg 08	9	5	3	1	+9	18
7	Molde	9	5	2	2	+9	17
8	Lillestrom	9	4	2	3	+5	14
9	Sogndal	9	3	5	1	+2	14
10	Viking	8	3	2	3	+1	11
11	Bodo/Glimt	9	3	2	4	+0	11
12	Valerenga	8	3	1	4	+3	10
13	Aalesund	8	2	3	3	+2	9
14	Tromso	8	2	3	3	+0	9
15	Stabaek	8	2	1	5	-5	7
16	Start	9	0	3	6	-16	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Viking	9	5	1	3	-2	16
2	Odd	8	4	2	2	+2	14
3	Rosenborg	8	3	4	1	+4	13
4	Sarpsborg 08	9	4	1	4	-7	13
5	Haugesund	9	3	1	5	-8	10
6	Sogndal	8	2	3	3	-1	9
7	Tromso	9	2	3	4	-8	9
8	Stabaek	9	2	2	5	-2	8
9	Bodo/Glimt	8	2	2	4	-2	8
10	Brann	9	2	2	5	-6	8
11	Molde	8	2	2	4	-7	8
12	Stromsgodset	8	2	1	5	-6	7
13	Lillestrom	8	1	3	4	-6	6
14	Valerenga	9	1	2	6	-10	5
15	Start	9	0	4	5	-8	4
16	Aalesund	9	1	1	7	-16	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.