Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sandefjord
Kongsvinger
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Kristiansund
|
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | +13 | 39 |
| 2 |
Sandefjord
|
17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | +13 | 35 |
| 3 |
Levanger
|
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | +10 | 32 |
| 4 |
Mjondalen
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 26 |
| 5 |
Sandnes ULF
|
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | +7 | 25 |
| 6 |
Asane
|
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | +5 | 25 |
| 7 |
Kongsvinger
|
16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | +7 | 24 |
| 8 |
Strommen
|
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | +0 | 24 |
| 9 |
Ranheim
|
17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 24 |
| 10 |
Jerv
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | +0 | 23 |
| 11 |
KFUM Oslo
|
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -7 | 18 |
| 12 |
hodd
|
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -8 | 18 |
| 13 |
Fredrikstad
|
18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -11 | 17 |
| 14 |
Ull/Kisa
|
17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |
Raufoss
|
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -10 | 15 |
| 16 |
Bryne
|
17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -14 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ranheim
Sandefjord
Sandefjord
Levanger
KFUM Oslo
Sandefjord
Sandefjord
Jerv
Bryne
Sandefjord
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.