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Eliteserien
Referee: Svein-Erik Edvartsen
Lillestrom
T S T T U
2–4
Full-time
Tromso
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Tromso
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Eliteserien · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 27%
31%
23%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
62%
46%
Both score Ø 54%
77%
31%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

52% Possession 48%
8 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 5
3 Offside 4
18 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 9. · Tromso 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 13 10 2 1 +18 32
2 Odd 13 8 3 2 +8 27
3 Molde 13 7 3 3 +5 24
4 Stromsgodset 13 7 2 4 +7 23
5 Viking 13 7 2 4 +2 23
6 Brann 13 7 2 4 +1 23
7 Haugesund 13 6 3 4 +5 21
8 Sarpsborg 08 13 5 4 4 -1 19
9 Lillestrom 13 4 5 4 +3 17
10 Sogndal 13 3 6 4 -1 15
11 Tromso 13 3 4 6 -9 13
12 Aalesund 13 3 3 7 -3 12
13 Valerenga 13 3 2 8 -5 11
14 Bodo/Glimt 13 3 2 8 -6 11
15 Stabaek 13 3 1 9 -7 10
16 Start 13 0 6 7 -17 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Tromso
3′
T. Olsen 0–1
S. Moussa
1–1 M. Martin
E. Knudtzon
14′
21′
🟨 Simen Wangberg
29′
M. Ingebrigtsen 1–2
S. Moussa
Half-time 1–2
Frode Kippe 🟨
50′
51′
S. Moussa 1–3
O. Rindarøy 🔁
↦ M. Ofkir
59′
2–3 Bassel Jradi
O. Rindarøy
65′
71′
🟨 Sofien Moussa
74′
🔁 A. Sigurdarson
↦ M. Ingebrigtsen
79′
M. Andersen 2–4
A. Sigurdarson
E. Brenden 🔁
↦ S. Mikalsen
81′
Marius Amundsen 🟨
84′
A. Vilhjálmsson 🔁
↦ F. Kippe
88′
89′
🔁 J. Gundersen
↦ K. Antonsen
94′
🔁 L. Nilsen
↦ T. Olsen
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Lillestrom

12 J. Faye Lund
16 H. Skogseid D
13 F. Kippe D
4 M. Amundsen D
3 S. Mikalsen D
8 M. Martin M
10 M. Lundemo M
7 Bassel Jradi M
11 E. Knudtzon F
23 F. Friday F
20 M. Ofkir M
Bench (7)
5 O. Rindarøy
15 E. Brenden
9 A. Vilhjálmsson
2 M. Falkeborn
17 J. Kolstad
18 B. Innocent
29 E. Ødegaard

Tromso

1 G. Kongshavn G
14 H. Norbye D
5 M. Ødegaard D
22 S. Wangberg D
3 K. Antonsen M
15 M. Andersen M
6 C. Landu Landu M
24 M. Ingebrigtsen F
10 T. Olsen F
23 G. Åsen F
9 S. Moussa F
Bench (6)
17 A. Sigurdarson
26 J. Gundersen
25 L. Nilsen
12 F. Lončarić
20 C. Johnsgard
27 F. Michalsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Svein-Erik Edvartsen · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.