Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Dereham Town
Wisbech Town
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Binfield
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 2 |
Heaton Stannington
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 |
Great Yarmouth Town
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 |
AFC Liverpool
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Trafford
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Sheringham
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Royal Wootton
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Burgess Hill Town
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Whickham
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Stansted
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 11 |
Biggleswade
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 12 |
Abbey Hey
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 |
Albion Sports
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 |
Woodbridge Town
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 |
Mangotsfield United
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 |
Spelthorne Sports
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 |
Carlisle City
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 |
Wokingham Town
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 |
Easington Colliery
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 20 |
Kirkley & Pakefield
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ware
Dereham Town
Dereham Town
Ipswich Wanderers
Ipswich Wanderers
Dereham Town
Dereham Town
Walsham Le Willows
Dereham Town
Biggleswade Town
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.