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FA Cup
5–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Baffins Milton Rovers Petersfield Town
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
100%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
5,3
4,3
Scored
2,8
2,5
Conceded
2,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Binfield 1 1 0 0 +2 3
2 Heaton Stannington 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Great Yarmouth Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 AFC Liverpool 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Trafford 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Sheringham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Royal Wootton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Burgess Hill Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Whickham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Stansted 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Biggleswade 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Abbey Hey 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Albion Sports 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Woodbridge Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Mangotsfield United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Spelthorne Sports 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Carlisle City 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Wokingham Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Easington Colliery 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Kirkley & Pakefield 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.