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Süper Lig
Referee: Halil Umut Meler
Kayserispor
T S U U U
1–2
Full-time
Fenerbahce
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
This season — Süper Lig · 39/39 matches
Win Ø 43%
23%
62%
Points per game
1,1
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
33%
64%
Both score Ø 53%
44%
62%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
0,9
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

23% Possession 77%
9 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 11
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 10
5 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kayserispor 17. · Fenerbahce 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 39 25 6 8 +44 81
2 Galatasaray 39 25 6 8 +42 81
3 Fenerbahce 39 24 7 8 +30 79
4 Trabzonspor 39 18 14 7 +12 68
5 Sivasspor 40 16 17 7 +11 65
6 Hatayspor 40 17 10 13 +9 61
7 Alanyaspor 40 17 9 14 +13 60
8 Karagumruk 40 16 12 12 +12 60
9 Gaziantep 40 15 13 12 +8 58
10 Goztep 39 13 12 14 +1 51
11 Konyaspor 40 12 14 14 +1 50
12 Buyuksehyr 40 12 12 16 -12 48
13 Rizespor 40 12 12 16 -16 48
14 Kasimpasa 40 12 10 18 -10 46
15 Yeni Malatyaspor 39 10 15 14 -2 45
16 Antalyaspor 40 9 17 14 -14 44
17 Kayserispor 39 9 14 16 -16 41
18 Erzurumspor 40 10 10 20 -24 40
19 Ankaragücü 40 10 8 22 -19 38
20 Genclerbirligi 39 10 8 21 -31 38
21 Denizlispor 40 6 10 24 -39 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kayserispor Fenerbahce
7′
🟨 Enner Valencia
1–0 Pedro Henrique
İ. Parlak
18′
32′
🟨 Caner Erkin
Karlo Muhar 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 P. Cissé
↦ F. Kadıoğlu
İlhan Parlak 🟨
55′
Y. Subaşı 🔁
↦ R. Civelek
69′
73′
🔁 M. Samatta
↦ N. Sangaré
73′
🔁 M. Yandaş
↦ D. Pelkas
73′
🔁 Luiz Gustavo
↦ J. Sosa
M. Okutan 🔁
↦ D. Avramovski
84′
87′
ℹ️ Ozan Tufan
VAR: Goal cancelled
Aziz Behich 🟨
88′
Pedro Henrique 🟨
88′
İlhan Parlak 🟨
89′
İlhan Parlak 🟥
89′
90′
E. Valencia 1–1
U. Demirok 🔁
↦ Z. Kvržić
94′
B. Sabovic 🔁
↦ K. Muhar
95′
99′
S. Aziz 1–2
E. Valencia
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Kayserispor

5-4-1
16 D. Alemdar G
21 A. Behich D
4 D. Kolovetsios D
2 N. Paz D
10 Pedro Henrique M
18 Z. Kvržić D
96 D. Avramovski M
3 J. Attamah D
20 R. Civelek M
73 K. Muhar M
23 İ. Parlak F
Bench (10)
32 Y. Subaşı
24 M. Okutan
44 B. Sabovic
15 U. Demirok
17 N. Korkmaz
11 M. Çelik
14 E. Demir
77 D. Alibec
1 İ. Çipe
42 K. Luckassen

Coach: Y. Koşukavak

Fenerbahce

4-1-4-1
1 A. Bayındır G
4 S. Aziz D
88 C. Erkin D
35 N. Sangaré D
41 Attila Szalai D
5 J. Sosa M
14 D. Pelkas M
7 O. Tufan M
21 B. Osayi-Samuel M
16 F. Kadıoğlu M
13 E. Valencia F
Bench (10)
9 P. Cissé
10 M. Samatta
8 M. Yandaş
20 Luiz Gustavo
26 M. Tisserand
3 M. Lemos
15 H. Tekin
40 A. Güler
37 F. Novák
27 M. Thiam

Coach: Ş. Çorlu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,26
U
4,20
B ✓
1,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,30
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Halil Umut Meler · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.