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La Liga
Referee: Mario Melero
Levante
T S T T T
1–1
Full-time
Celta
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levante Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
This season — La Liga · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 19%
20%
17%
Points per game
0,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
40%
33%
Both score Ø 37%
40%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
10 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 2
5 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Levante 19. · Celta 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sociedad 7 4 2 1 +11 14
2 Real Madrid 6 4 1 1 +5 13
3 Granada 6 4 1 1 +0 13
4 Villarreal 7 3 3 1 +0 12
5 Ath Madrid 5 3 2 0 +9 11
6 Cadiz 7 3 2 2 +0 11
7 Osasuna 6 3 1 2 +2 10
8 Getafe 6 3 1 2 +1 10
9 Elche 5 3 1 1 +1 10
10 Betis 7 3 0 4 -4 9
11 Eibar 7 2 2 3 -1 8
12 Barcelona 5 2 1 2 +4 7
13 Sevilla 5 2 1 2 +1 7
14 Valencia 7 2 1 4 -2 7
15 Alaves 7 2 1 4 -3 7
16 Ath Bilbao 6 2 0 4 -2 6
17 Huesca 7 0 5 2 -5 5
18 Celta 6 1 2 3 -6 5
19 Levante 5 1 0 4 -5 3
20 Valladolid 7 0 3 4 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Levante Celta
26′
🟨 Jeison Murillo
Óscar Duarte 🟨
31′
42′
🟨 Lucas Olaza
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Roger Martí
48′
52′
Sergio Carreira 1–1
Denis Suárez
E. Bardhi 🔁
↦ Morales
61′
Dani Gómez 🔁
↦ Melero
61′
62′
🔁 Gabri Veiga
↦ Nolito
Rúben Vezo 🔁
↦ Ó. Duarte
74′
Toño 🟨
78′
Clerc 🔁
↦ Toño
84′
Jorge de Frutos 🔁
↦ Rochina
85′
87′
🔁 Brais Méndez
↦ Santi Mina
87′
🔁 Fran Beltrán
↦ Sergio Carreira
Dani Gómez ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Levante

4-4-2
13 Aitor Fernández G
6 Ó. Duarte D
15 Postigo D
3 Toño D
20 Miramón D
16 Rochina M
24 Campaña M
11 Morales F
12 M. Malsa M
22 Melero M
9 Roger Martí F
Bench (12)
10 E. Bardhi
21 Dani Gómez
14 Rúben Vezo
19 Clerc
18 Jorge de Frutos
7 Sergio León
5 N. Radoja
1 Koke
34 Dani Cárdenas
2 Son
23 Coke
4 Rober

Coach: Paco López

Celta

5-3-2
1 Iván Villar G
24 J. Murillo D
4 N. Araújo D
15 L. Olaza D
34 Sergio Carreira D
29 José Fontán D
6 Denis Suárez M
14 R. Tapia M
10 Iago Aspas F
9 Nolito M
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (12)
31 Gabri Veiga
23 Brais Méndez
8 Fran Beltrán
16 Jorge Sáenz
17 Juncà
32 Miguel Rodríguez
5 O. Yokuşlu
26 Iago Domínguez
27 Miguel Baeza
35 Álvaro Fernández
3 David Costas
11 E. Mor

Coach: Óscar García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,45
U ✓
3,31
B
2,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,05
U2,5 ✓
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mario Melero · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.