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Premier League

Referee: J Moss

Brighton

T S T T U

1–1

Full-time

West Brom

T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brighton West Brom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,8

3,7

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

2,0

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,3

This season — Premier League · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 10%

20%

Points per game

0,8

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

80%

60%

Both score Ø 60%

80%

40%

Average goals

4,0

3,6

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

2,2

2,6

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

5 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brighton 16. · West Brom 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Everton	6	4	1	1	+5	13
2	Liverpool	6	4	1	1	+1	13
3	Aston Villa	5	4	0	1	+7	12
4	Leicester	6	4	0	2	+5	12
5	Leeds	6	3	1	2	+3	10
6	Southampton	6	3	1	2	+1	10
7	Crystal Palace	6	3	1	2	-1	10
8	Wolves	6	3	1	2	-2	10
9	Chelsea	6	2	3	1	+4	9
10	Arsenal	6	3	0	3	+1	9
11	Tottenham	5	2	2	1	+7	8
12	West Ham	6	2	2	2	+4	8
13	Man City	5	2	2	1	+0	8
14	Newcastle	6	2	2	2	-2	8
15	Man United	5	2	1	2	-3	7
16	Brighton	5	1	1	3	-2	4
17	West Brom	5	0	2	3	-8	2
18	Burnley	4	0	1	3	-5	1
19	Sheffield United	6	0	1	5	-6	1
20	Fulham	6	0	1	5	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Everton	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Aston Villa	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Southampton	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Arsenal	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Chelsea	3	1	1	1	+2	4
7	West Ham	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Leeds	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Crystal Palace	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Wolves	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Leicester	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Man City	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Newcastle	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Tottenham	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	West Brom	3	0	2	1	-3	2
16	Sheffield United	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Man United	3	0	1	2	-7	1
18	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Brighton	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Fulham	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leicester	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Tottenham	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Man United	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Aston Villa	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Leeds	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Everton	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Crystal Palace	3	2	0	1	-1	6
8	Wolves	3	2	0	1	-1	6
9	Chelsea	3	1	2	0	+2	5
10	Man City	3	1	2	0	+2	5
11	Newcastle	3	1	2	0	+2	5
12	West Ham	3	1	1	1	+2	4
13	Brighton	3	1	1	1	+1	4
14	Southampton	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Liverpool	3	1	1	1	-3	4
16	Arsenal	3	1	0	2	+0	3
17	Fulham	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Burnley	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Sheffield United	3	0	0	3	-3	0
20	West Brom	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.