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Pro League
Referee: Jonathan Lardot
Antwerp
T T S S U
1–0
Full-time
Mechelen
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 78%
78%
78%
Both score Ø 78%
89%
67%
Average goals
3,6
3,3
Scored
2,1
1,8
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
14 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Antwerp 5. · Mechelen 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 17 13 3 1 +32 42
2 Standard 18 11 3 4 +20 36
3 Charleroi 17 10 4 3 +13 34
4 Gent 18 9 5 4 +14 32
5 Antwerp 18 9 4 5 +9 31
6 Mechelen 18 9 4 5 +4 31
7 Waregem 18 8 5 5 +7 29
8 Genk 19 8 5 6 +5 29
9 Anderlecht 18 5 8 5 +1 23
10 Mouscron 16 5 7 4 +2 22
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 16 5 7 4 +2 22
12 St Truiden 18 5 5 8 -12 20
13 Eupen 18 4 5 9 -16 17
14 Kortrijk 18 4 3 11 -9 15
15 Oostende 18 3 4 11 -16 13
16 Cercle Brugge 19 3 4 12 -22 13
17 Waasland-Beveren 16 2 5 9 -17 11
18 Beveren 16 2 5 9 -17 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antwerp Mechelen
45′
🟨 Thibault Peyre
Half-time 0–0
A. Seck 🔁
↦ D. Arslanagic
46′
D. Lamkel Ze 🔁
↦ L. Refaelov
60′
62′
🔁 W. Togui
↦ D. Vanzeir
62′
🔁 G. Hairemans
↦ C. Tainmont
1–0 K. Mirallas
A. De Sart
74′
80′
🔁 G. Engvall
↦ I. de Camargo
M. Hongla 🔁
↦ K. Mirallas
89′
Dieumerci Mbokani 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Antwerp

3-4-3
1 S. Bolat G
2 R. De Laet D
15 D. Arslanagic D
22 W. Hoedt D
30 Buta D
38 F. Haroun M
11 L. Refaelov M
25 A. De Sart M
87 K. Mirallas F
70 D. Mbokani F
8 Ivo Rodrigues M
Bench (7)
3 A. Seck
7 D. Lamkel Ze
18 M. Hongla
39 J. Teunckens
28 M. Benson
6 S. Juklerød
93 Z. Gano

Coach: L. Bölöni

Mechelen

4-4-2
15 Y. Thoelen G
5 A. Swinkels D
22 A. Corryn D
23 T. Peyre D
2 J. Van Cleemput D
8 O. Kaya M
21 C. Tainmont M
13 J. Van Damme M
16 R. Schoofs M
10 I. de Camargo F
31 D. Vanzeir F
Bench (7)
9 W. Togui
7 G. Hairemans
20 G. Engvall
30 J. Vanlerberghe
3 L. Bijker
1 B. Castro
4 S. Bateau

Coach: W. Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,55
U
4,31
B
5,41
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,57
U2,5 ✓
2,33
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jonathan Lardot · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.