OBOS-ligaen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Asane
Raufoss
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Brann
|
27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | +71 | 72 |
| 2 |
Stabaek
|
26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | +31 | 50 |
| 3 |
Start
|
26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | +21 | 45 |
| 4 |
KFUM Oslo
|
25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | +10 | 42 |
| 5 |
Sogndal
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +2 | 40 |
| 6 |
Sandnes ULF
|
25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | +1 | 40 |
| 7 |
Ranheim
|
26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +0 | 40 |
| 8 |
Mjondalen
|
27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | -8 | 39 |
| 9 |
Kongsvinger
|
23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | +10 | 37 |
| 10 |
Raufoss
|
26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | -11 | 35 |
| 11 |
Fredrikstad
|
26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 29 |
| 12 |
Asane
|
26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | -20 | 29 |
| 13 |
Bryne
|
26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | -12 | 26 |
| 14 |
Skeid
|
27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | -15 | 25 |
| 15 |
Stjørdals-Blink
|
27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -39 | 14 |
| 16 |
Grorud
|
26 | 1 | 8 | 17 | -38 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Stabaek
Asane
Asane
Kongsvinger
Ranheim
Asane
Asane
Brann
Stjørdals-Blink
Asane
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.