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Primeira Liga

Referee: Manuel Oliveira

Portimonense

S S S S T

1–0

Full-time

Chaves

S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Portimonense Chaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%

15 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

20 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Portimonense 4. · Chaves 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	6	6	0	0	+11	18
2	Sp Braga	6	5	1	0	+16	16
3	Porto	6	5	0	1	+11	15
4	Portimonense	6	4	0	2	+1	12
5	Boavista	6	4	0	2	-1	12
6	Casa Pia	6	3	2	1	+3	11
7	Sp Lisbon	6	3	1	2	+4	10
8	Estoril	6	3	1	2	+3	10
9	Guimaraes	6	3	0	3	+0	9
10	Chaves	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Gil Vicente	6	2	2	2	-1	8
12	Arouca	6	2	1	3	-9	7
13	Vizela	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Rio Ave	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Santa Clara	6	1	1	4	-3	4
16	Famalicao	6	1	1	4	-6	4
17	Pacos Ferreira	6	0	0	6	-10	0
18	Maritimo	6	0	0	6	-13	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Sp Braga	3	2	1	0	+6	7
4	Sp Lisbon	3	2	0	1	+5	6
5	Portimonense	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Guimaraes	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Boavista	3	2	0	1	-1	6
8	Casa Pia	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Estoril	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Santa Clara	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Gil Vicente	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Rio Ave	3	1	0	2	+0	3
13	Famalicao	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Arouca	3	1	0	2	-6	3
15	Chaves	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Vizela	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Maritimo	3	0	0	3	-3	0
18	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Casa Pia	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Estoril	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Porto	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Chaves	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Portimonense	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Boavista	3	2	0	1	+0	6
9	Gil Vicente	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Vizela	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Sp Lisbon	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Arouca	3	1	1	1	-3	4
13	Guimaraes	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Rio Ave	3	0	2	1	-3	2
15	Famalicao	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	0	3	-3	0
17	Santa Clara	3	0	0	3	-3	0
18	Maritimo	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.