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Ligue 2

Paris FC

T U T S T

1–1

Full-time

Ajaccio

U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris FC Ajaccio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 39%

50%

28%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

56%

22%

Both score Ø 39%

44%

33%

Average goals

2,4

2,1

Scored

1,4

0,8

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

10 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 4

2 Corners 8

16 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris FC 6. · Ajaccio 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	18	11	4	3	+13	37
2	Toulouse	18	10	5	3	+14	35
3	Grenoble	18	10	4	4	+12	34
4	Clermont	18	9	6	3	+15	33
5	Auxerre	18	9	5	4	+15	32
6	Paris FC	18	9	4	5	+6	31
7	Sochaux	18	6	9	3	+8	27
8	Caen	18	7	6	5	-1	27
9	Niort	18	7	4	7	-7	25
10	Amiens	18	6	6	6	+2	24
11	Valenciennes	18	6	6	6	+1	24
12	Le Havre	18	6	5	7	-6	23
13	Ajaccio	18	5	6	7	-7	21
14	Dunkerque	18	6	2	10	-6	20
15	Nancy	18	4	5	9	-6	17
16	Guingamp	18	3	8	7	-6	17
17	Chambly	18	3	7	8	-10	16
18	Rodez	18	2	9	7	-11	15
19	Pau FC	18	3	5	10	-13	14
20	Chateauroux	18	3	4	11	-13	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	9	7	2	0	+10	23
2	Grenoble	8	7	1	0	+14	22
3	Auxerre	10	6	2	2	+14	20
4	Clermont	9	5	3	1	+10	18
5	Toulouse	10	5	3	2	+6	18
6	Paris FC	9	5	2	2	+3	17
7	Caen	9	4	4	1	+1	16
8	Sochaux	9	4	3	2	+4	15
9	Niort	9	4	3	2	+3	15
10	Amiens	9	3	4	2	+1	13
11	Valenciennes	9	3	3	3	+0	12
12	Ajaccio	9	3	3	3	-1	12
13	Dunkerque	9	3	2	4	+0	11
14	Le Havre	8	2	4	2	+0	10
15	Guingamp	9	2	4	3	-1	10
16	Rodez	10	2	4	4	-4	10
17	Chambly	10	3	1	6	-5	10
18	Nancy	8	2	3	3	-2	9
19	Pau FC	8	2	3	3	-2	9
20	Chateauroux	9	2	1	6	-7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	8	5	2	1	+8	17
2	Clermont	9	4	3	2	+5	15
3	Paris FC	9	4	2	3	+3	14
4	Troyes	9	4	2	3	+3	14
5	Le Havre	10	4	1	5	-6	13
6	Sochaux	9	2	6	1	+4	12
7	Valenciennes	9	3	3	3	+1	12
8	Auxerre	8	3	3	2	+1	12
9	Grenoble	10	3	3	4	-2	12
10	Amiens	9	3	2	4	+1	11
11	Caen	9	3	2	4	-2	11
12	Niort	9	3	1	5	-10	10
13	Ajaccio	9	2	3	4	-6	9
14	Dunkerque	9	3	0	6	-6	9
15	Nancy	10	2	2	6	-4	8
16	Guingamp	9	1	4	4	-5	7
17	Chambly	8	0	6	2	-5	6
18	Chateauroux	9	1	3	5	-6	6
19	Rodez	8	0	5	3	-7	5
20	Pau FC	10	1	2	7	-11	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.