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Primeira Liga

Referee: Artur Soares Dias

Tondela

T U S T S

0–2

Full-time

Guimaraes

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tondela Guimaraes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,7

1,7

Scored

0,8

0,7

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 36%

29%

43%

Points per game

1,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

43%

29%

Both score Ø 29%

43%

14%

Average goals

2,6

1,6

Scored

0,9

0,6

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

13 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 2

3 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tondela 12. · Guimaraes 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	7	6	1	0	+15	19
2	Benfica	7	5	0	2	+8	15
3	Sp Braga	7	5	0	2	+5	15
4	Porto	7	4	1	2	+8	13
5	Pacos Ferreira	7	3	2	2	+1	11
6	Nacional	7	2	4	1	+1	10
7	Santa Clara	7	3	1	3	+0	10
8	Rio Ave	7	2	4	1	+0	10
9	Guimaraes	7	3	1	3	-3	10
10	Famalicao	8	2	3	3	-5	9
11	Moreirense	6	2	2	2	-1	8
12	Tondela	7	2	2	3	-6	8
13	Belenenses	7	1	4	2	-2	7
14	Maritimo	7	2	1	4	-3	7
15	Boavista	7	1	3	3	-5	6
16	Farense	7	1	2	4	-3	5
17	Gil Vicente	7	1	2	4	-4	5
18	Portimonense	7	1	1	5	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	4	3	0	1	+4	9
2	Benfica	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Pacos Ferreira	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Sp Lisbon	3	2	1	0	+6	7
5	Moreirense	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Tondela	4	2	1	1	-1	7
7	Nacional	4	1	3	0	+1	6
8	Sp Braga	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Famalicao	4	1	2	1	-3	5
10	Santa Clara	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Farense	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Gil Vicente	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Maritimo	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Rio Ave	3	1	1	1	-1	4
15	Belenenses	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Boavista	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Guimaraes	4	1	0	3	-5	3
18	Portimonense	3	0	1	2	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Sp Braga	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Guimaraes	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Benfica	3	2	0	1	+4	6
5	Rio Ave	4	1	3	0	+1	6
6	Santa Clara	4	2	0	2	-1	6
7	Porto	3	1	1	1	+4	4
8	Nacional	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Belenenses	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Famalicao	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Boavista	4	0	3	1	-2	3
12	Maritimo	4	1	0	3	-3	3
13	Portimonense	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Farense	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Gil Vicente	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Moreirense	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.