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Süper Lig
Referee: Mustafa Ogretmenoglu
Ankaragücü
T T T U T
0–1
Full-time
Trabzonspor
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ankaragücü Trabzonspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,7
This season — Süper Lig · 7/9 matches
Win Ø 11%
0%
22%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
57%
44%
Both score Ø 62%
57%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
14 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ankaragücü 21. · Trabzonspor 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alanyaspor 8 6 2 0 +15 20
2 Fenerbahce 9 6 2 1 +8 20
3 Galatasaray 9 5 2 2 +5 17
4 Gaziantep 9 3 5 1 +2 14
5 Karagumruk 9 3 4 2 +6 13
6 Buyuksehyr 9 4 1 4 +1 13
7 Besiktas 8 4 1 3 -1 13
8 Konyaspor 8 3 3 2 +4 12
9 Rizespor 8 3 3 2 +2 12
10 Kasimpasa 9 3 3 3 +1 12
11 Hatayspor 7 3 3 1 -2 12
12 Goztep 8 2 5 1 +5 11
13 Yeni Malatyaspor 8 3 2 3 -2 11
14 Sivasspor 8 2 3 3 -2 9
15 Trabzonspor 9 2 3 4 -4 9
16 Antalyaspor 9 2 3 4 -5 9
17 Erzurumspor 8 2 2 4 -4 8
18 Kayserispor 8 2 1 5 -6 7
19 Genclerbirligi 8 1 2 5 -8 5
20 Denizlispor 8 1 2 5 -8 5
21 Ankaragücü 7 0 2 5 -7 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ankaragücü Trabzonspor
Zvonimir Šarlija 🟨
5′
Stelios Kitsiou 🟨
21′
Half-time 0–1
46′
L. Baker 0–1
J. Bolingi 🔁
↦ T. Børven
59′
J. Paintsil 🔁
↦ S. Lobzhanidze
69′
E. Güral 🔁
↦ A. Potuk
69′
71′
🟨 João Pereira
73′
🔁 Djaniny
↦ B. Afobe
L. Adžić 🔁
↦ O. Çınar
74′
Ş. Çetin 🔁
↦ I. Voca
74′
82′
🟨 Uğurcan Çakır
84′
🔁 B. Başacıkoğlu
↦ C. Ekuban
89′
🔁 Flavio
↦ A. Ömür
90′
🟨 Djaniny
90′
🟨 João Pereira
90′
🟥 João Pereira
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Ankaragücü

25 Ricardo Friedrich G
2 M. Pazdan D
8 Tiago Pinto D
70 S. Kitsiou D
50 Z. Šarlija D
20 A. Potuk M
10 O. Çınar M
11 S. Lobzhanidze M
42 I. Voca M
6 A. Çankaya M
22 T. Børven F
Bench (10)
9 J. Bolingi
28 J. Paintsil
77 E. Güral
7 L. Adžić
18 Ş. Çetin
35 D. Łukasik
4 E. Dikmen
19 C. Karayel
89 A. Turan
1 K. Çelikay

Trabzonspor

4-2-3-1
1 U. Çakır G
47 João Pereira D
13 Vitor Hugo D
32 Edgar Ié D
3 Marlon Xavier D
8 L. Baker M
61 A. Parmak M
10 A. Ömür M
9 A. Nwakaeme M
79 B. Afobe F
18 C. Ekuban M
Bench (10)
21 Djaniny
45 B. Başacıkoğlu
24 Flavio
16 E. Kardeşler
23 K. Çörekçi
5 M. Hosseini
17 F. Diabaté
38 A. Canbaz
19 S. Kınalı
99 S. Asan

Coach: A. Avcı

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,41
U
3,32
B ✓
2,13
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,84
U2,5 ✓
1,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mustafa Ogretmenoglu · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,55 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.