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Primeira Liga

Referee: Carlos Xistra

Aves

T T T T T

0–0

Full-time

Porto

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aves Porto

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

0,3

1,3

Conceded

2,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+0,7

This season — Primeira Liga · 27/28 matches

Win Ø 47%

15%

79%

Points per game

0,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

52%

57%

Both score Ø 46%

48%

43%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

0,9

2,1

Conceded

1,9

0,6

Goal diff per game

-1,1

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

21% Possession 79%

5 Shots 24

0 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 6

8 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 12

1 Offside 1

21 Free kicks against 20

6 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aves 19. · Porto 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	28	22	3	3	+42	69
2	Benfica	28	20	5	3	+39	65
3	Sp Braga	28	15	4	9	+14	49
4	Sp Lisbon	27	15	4	8	+14	49
5	Famalicao	27	13	7	7	+4	46
6	Rio Ave	27	12	8	7	+10	44
7	Guimaraes	27	10	10	7	+15	40
8	Santa Clara	29	9	10	10	-6	37
9	Moreirense	28	8	11	9	+2	35
10	Gil Vicente	29	8	10	11	-7	34
11	Boavista	27	8	8	11	-5	32
12	Maritimo	29	6	12	11	-10	30
13	Setubal	26	6	12	8	-10	30
14	Vitoria Setubal	26	6	12	8	-10	30
15	Tondela	28	7	9	12	-11	30
16	Belenenses	27	8	6	13	-18	30
17	Pacos Ferreira	27	7	4	16	-17	25
18	Portimonense	29	3	14	12	-17	23
19	Aves	27	4	1	22	-29	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	14	12	1	1	+25	37
2	Benfica	14	10	2	2	+22	32
3	Sp Braga	14	8	3	3	+8	27
4	Sp Lisbon	13	9	0	4	+8	27
5	Famalicao	14	8	3	3	+6	27
6	Moreirense	14	6	4	4	+4	22
7	Guimaraes	13	6	3	4	+10	21
8	Rio Ave	14	5	5	4	+4	20
9	Maritimo	15	4	7	4	+1	19
10	Gil Vicente	14	4	7	3	+0	19
11	Santa Clara	15	5	4	6	-5	19
12	Setubal	13	3	7	3	-4	16
13	Vitoria Setubal	13	3	7	3	-4	16
14	Belenenses	14	4	3	7	-11	15
15	Portimonense	14	2	8	4	-3	14
16	Pacos Ferreira	14	4	2	8	-5	14
17	Boavista	13	3	4	6	-3	13
18	Tondela	14	2	5	7	-9	11
19	Aves	13	3	0	10	-10	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	14	10	3	1	+17	33
2	Porto	14	10	2	2	+17	32
3	Rio Ave	13	7	3	3	+6	24
4	Sp Lisbon	14	6	4	4	+6	22
5	Sp Braga	14	7	1	6	+6	22
6	Guimaraes	14	4	7	3	+5	19
7	Famalicao	13	5	4	4	-2	19
8	Tondela	14	5	4	5	-2	19
9	Boavista	14	5	4	5	-2	19
10	Santa Clara	14	4	6	4	-1	18
11	Gil Vicente	15	4	3	8	-7	15
12	Belenenses	13	4	3	6	-7	15
13	Setubal	13	3	5	5	-6	14
14	Vitoria Setubal	13	3	5	5	-6	14
15	Moreirense	14	2	7	5	-2	13
16	Maritimo	14	2	5	7	-11	11
17	Pacos Ferreira	13	3	2	8	-12	11
18	Portimonense	15	1	6	8	-14	9
19	Aves	14	1	1	12	-19	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.