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Europa League
Referee: C Kavanagh
Ajax
U S S S S
0–1
Full-time
Panathinaikos
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
0,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Aug -24 Panathinaikos – Ajax 0–1

Match report

Ajax Panathinaikos
6′
🟨 Anastasios Bakasetas
Half-time 0–0
Chuba Akpom 🟨
53′
M. Godts 🔁
↦ Carlos Forbs
61′
B. Traoré 🔁
↦ C. Akpom
61′
68′
🔁 G. Vagiannidis
↦ G. Kotsiras
68′
🔁 Tetê
↦ F. Đuričić
A. Gaaei 🔁
↦ S. Berghuis
71′
B. van den Boomen 🔁
↦ K. Fitz-Jim
71′
75′
🟨 Fotis Ioannidis
75′
🔁 A. Jeremejeff
↦ F. Ioannidis
78′
🟨 Filip Mladenović
82′
🔁 T. Vilhena
↦ A. Gnezda Čerin
82′
🔁 N. Maksimović
↦ Willian Arão
89′
⚽ Tetê 0–1
94′
🟨 Alexander Jeremejeff
97′
🔁 Zeca
↦ A. Bakasetas
B. Brobbey 🔁
↦ J. Hato
99′
Jordan Henderson 🟨
105′
105′
🟨 Daniel Mancini
105′
🟨 Tetê
S. Bergwijn 🔁
↦ D. Rensch
110′
121′
❌ D. Mancini
penalty missed
1–1 S. Bergwijn ⚽
122′
123′
⚽ A. Jeremejeff 1–2
2–2 B. van den Boomen ⚽
124′
125′
⚽ Tetê 2–3
3–3 M. Godts ⚽
126′
127′
⚽ T. Jedvaj 3–4
4–4 K. Taylor ⚽
128′
129′
⚽ F. Mladenović 4–5
B. Brobbey ❌
penalty missed
130′
131′
⚽ T. Vilhena 4–6
5–6 J. Henderson ⚽
132′
133′
❌ N. Maksimović
penalty missed
B. Traoré ❌
penalty missed
134′
135′
❌ S. Ingason
penalty missed
Y. Baas ❌
penalty missed
136′
137′
⚽ G. Vagiannidis 5–7
138′
⚽ Zeca 5–8
6–8 A. Gaaei ⚽
139′
7–8 J. Šutalo ⚽
140′
141′
⚽ B. Drągowski 7–9
8–9 R. Pasveer ⚽
142′
143′
⚽ D. Mancini 8–10
9–10 S. Bergwijn ⚽
144′
145′
⚽ A. Jeremejeff 9–11
10–11 B. van den Boomen ⚽
146′
11–11 M. Godts ⚽
147′
148′
⚽ Tetê 11–12
149′
⚽ T. Jedvaj 11–13
12–13 K. Taylor ⚽
150′
151′
❌ F. Mladenović
penalty missed
B. Brobbey ❌
penalty missed
152′
153′
❌ T. Vilhena
penalty missed
13–13 A. Gaaei ⚽
154′
Full-time 13–13

Line-ups

Ajax

4-3-3
22 R. Pasveer G
2 D. Rensch D
37 J. Šutalo D
15 Y. Baas D
4 J. Hato D
28 K. Fitz-Jim M
6 J. Henderson M
8 K. Taylor M
23 S. Berghuis M
10 C. Akpom F
11 Carlos Forbs F
Bench (12)
39 M. Godts
20 B. Traoré
3 A. Gaaei
21 B. van den Boomen
9 B. Brobbey
7 S. Bergwijn
18 J. Medić
13 A. Kaplan
12 J. Gorter
38 K. Hlynsson
40 D. Ramaj
16 S. Mannsverk

Coach: F. Farioli

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
69 B. Drągowski G
27 G. Kotsiras D
15 S. Ingason D
21 T. Jedvaj D
25 F. Mladenović D
16 A. Gnezda Čerin M
55 Willian Arão M
17 D. Mancini M
11 A. Bakasetas M
31 F. Đuričić M
7 F. Ioannidis F
Bench (12)
2 G. Vagiannidis
10 Tetê
29 A. Jeremejeff
52 T. Vilhena
20 N. Maksimović
6 Zeca
18 D. Limnios
1 Y. Lodygin
5 B. Schenkeveld
81 K. Lilo
36 G. Katris
80 A. Ntampizas

Coach: D. Alonso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Kavanagh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.