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Eredivisie

Referee: M Nagtegaal

Heerenveen

T S U U S

1–2

Full-time

Twente

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Twente

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,7

3,5

Scored

1,7

3,2

Conceded

2,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+2,8

This season — Eredivisie · 32/30 matches

Win Ø 47%

34%

60%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

53%

Both score Ø 40%

50%

30%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,9

Conceded

1,4

0,6

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

43% Possession 57%

14 Shots 20

6 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 7

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

9 Corners 11

3 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 8. · Twente 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	34	25	7	2	+51	82
2	PSV Eindhoven	34	23	6	5	+49	75
3	Ajax	34	20	9	5	+48	69
4	AZ Alkmaar	34	20	7	7	+33	67
5	Twente	30	18	7	5	+40	61
6	Sparta Rotterdam	30	17	6	7	+28	57
7	Utrecht	32	13	9	10	+0	48
8	Heerenveen	32	11	9	12	-7	42
9	Waalwijk	34	11	8	15	-14	41
10	Vitesse	34	10	10	14	-5	40
11	Go Ahead Eagles	34	10	10	14	-10	40
12	Nijmegen	34	8	15	11	-3	39
13	For Sittard	34	10	6	18	-23	36
14	Volendam	34	10	6	18	-29	36
15	Excelsior	34	9	5	20	-39	32
16	FC Emmen	35	7	10	18	-31	31
17	Cambuur	34	5	4	25	-43	19
18	Groningen	34	4	6	24	-44	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	17	14	2	1	+40	44
2	Twente	15	13	2	0	+35	41
3	Feyenoord	17	12	4	1	+27	40
4	Ajax	17	10	5	2	+33	35
5	AZ Alkmaar	17	9	5	3	+16	32
6	Sparta Rotterdam	15	10	1	4	+17	31
7	Waalwijk	17	9	3	5	+8	30
8	Volendam	17	9	1	7	-3	28
9	Go Ahead Eagles	17	7	6	4	+5	27
10	Utrecht	16	7	5	4	+3	26
11	Excelsior	17	8	2	7	-4	26
12	Vitesse	17	5	6	6	-1	21
13	For Sittard	17	5	4	8	-7	19
14	Nijmegen	17	3	9	5	+0	18
15	Heerenveen	16	5	3	8	-6	18
16	FC Emmen	17	3	9	5	-7	18
17	Groningen	17	3	3	11	-14	12
18	Cambuur	17	3	0	14	-19	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	17	13	3	1	+24	42
2	AZ Alkmaar	17	11	2	4	+17	35
3	Ajax	17	10	4	3	+15	34
4	PSV Eindhoven	17	9	4	4	+9	31
5	Sparta Rotterdam	15	7	5	3	+11	26
6	Heerenveen	16	6	6	4	-1	24
7	Utrecht	16	6	4	6	-3	22
8	Nijmegen	17	5	6	6	-3	21
9	Twente	15	5	5	5	+5	20
10	Vitesse	17	5	4	8	-4	19
11	For Sittard	17	5	2	10	-16	17
12	Go Ahead Eagles	17	3	4	10	-15	13
13	FC Emmen	18	4	1	13	-24	13
14	Waalwijk	17	2	5	10	-22	11
15	Cambuur	17	2	4	11	-24	10
16	Volendam	17	1	5	11	-26	8
17	Groningen	17	1	3	13	-30	6
18	Excelsior	17	1	3	13	-35	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.