Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Reggina
Ternana
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Brescia
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 2 |
Cittadella
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 3 |
Pisa
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 |
Ascoli
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 5 |
Frosinone
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 6 |
Cremonese
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 7 |
Benevento
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Perugia
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 9 |
Como
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 10 |
Parma
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 11 |
Reggina
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 12 |
Monza
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 13 |
Crotone
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 |
Spal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Pordenone | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 |
Ternana
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Alessandria | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 |
Lecce
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 |
Vicenza
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 |
Cosenza
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Reggina
Monza
Reggina
Frosinone
Lecce
Reggina
Reggina
Ascoli
Cremonese
Reggina
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.