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Süper Lig
Referee: Suat Arslanboga
Alanyaspor
T T T S T
3–2
Full-time
Gaziantep
S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Gaziantep
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 34/33 matches
Win Ø 42%
44%
39%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
47%
55%
Both score Ø 59%
53%
64%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

53% Possession 47%
17 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alanyaspor 6. · Gaziantep 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 34 22 6 6 +37 72
2 Fenerbahce 34 21 6 7 +27 69
3 Galatasaray 34 20 6 8 +33 66
4 Trabzonspor 35 16 12 7 +9 60
5 Hatayspor 34 15 8 11 +14 53
6 Alanyaspor 34 15 7 12 +15 52
7 Gaziantep 33 13 12 8 +10 51
8 Sivasspor 34 12 15 7 +7 51
9 Karagumruk 34 13 11 10 +9 50
10 Goztep 35 12 11 12 +3 47
11 Rizespor 34 10 12 12 -10 42
12 Antalyaspor 35 9 15 11 -11 42
13 Konyaspor 34 10 11 13 -3 41
14 Ankaragücü 34 10 8 16 -12 38
15 Yeni Malatyaspor 34 8 13 13 -6 37
16 Kasimpasa 34 9 10 15 -13 37
17 Kayserispor 34 8 11 15 -17 35
18 Erzurumspor 35 8 10 17 -22 34
19 Buyuksehyr 33 8 9 16 -17 33
20 Genclerbirligi 34 8 8 18 -26 32
21 Denizlispor 34 6 9 19 -27 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alanyaspor Gaziantep
6′
M. Demir 0–1
Jefferson
Georgios Tzavellas 🟨
16′
16′
🟨 Kevin Mirallas
1–1 M. Pektemek
S. Uçan
18′
41′
M. Demir 1–2
A. Maxim
Half-time 2–2
2–2 S. Caulker
S. Uçan
46′
3–2 M. Pektemek
S. Uçan
53′
71′
🔁 K. Özer
↦ Jefferson
E. Karaca 🔁
↦ K. Babacar
73′
C. Gülselam 🔁
↦ E. Siopis
81′
81′
🔁 F. Soyalp
↦ A. Vetrih
86′
🔁 B. Başacıkoğlu
↦ M. Demir
86′
🔁 O. Ceylan
↦ P. Olkowski
Marafona 🟨
90′
Steven Caulker 🟨
90′
E. Bekiroglu 🔁
↦ M. Pektemek
90′
A. Bareiro 🔁
↦ Davidson
90′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Alanyaspor

4-1-4-1
28 Marafona G
31 G. Tzavellas D
44 S. Caulker D
21 F. Moubandje D
24 Juanfran D
8 S. Uçan M
26 E. Siopis M
22 B. Kutlu M
19 M. Pektemek F
10 K. Babacar M
91 Davidson M
Bench (10)
7 E. Karaca
6 C. Gülselam
23 E. Bekiroglu
9 A. Bareiro
27 U. Güneş
92 D. Kądzior
75 T. Bingöl
4 A. Çelebi
5 F. Aksoy
30 S. Kırıntılı

Coach: S. Tokatlı

Gaziantep

4-4-2
1 G. Güvenç G
6 A. Toșca D
3 P. Djilobodji D
24 Roderick Miranda D
16 P. Olkowski D
27 K. Mirallas M
74 A. Vetrih M
44 A. Maxim M
8 Jefferson M
10 M. Demir F
94 N. Dicko F
Bench (10)
7 K. Özer
88 F. Soyalp
14 B. Başacıkoğlu
17 O. Ceylan
26 M. Cihan
4 U. Zengin
20 Z. Kožulj
25 Ç. Akbaba
28 André Sousa
32 Osama Rashid

Coach: Sá Pinto

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,69
U
3,79
B
4,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,78
U2,5
2,02
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Suat Arslanboga · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.