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Ligue 1

Referee: S Frappart

Nantes

U T U T S

3–2

Full-time

Lens

S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Lens

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,5

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 38%

35%

41%

Points per game

1,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

35%

59%

Both score Ø 56%

53%

59%

Average goals

2,5

3,1

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

40% Possession 60%

15 Shots 4

5 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nantes 13. · Lens 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	13	3	1	+20	42
2	Rennes	17	9	4	4	+18	31
3	Marseille	16	8	5	3	+9	29
4	Nice	17	8	4	5	+10	28
5	Lens	17	7	6	4	+7	27
6	Strasbourg	17	7	5	5	+12	26
7	Monaco	17	7	5	5	+7	26
8	Angers	17	6	7	4	+3	25
9	Montpellier	17	7	4	6	+2	25
10	Brest	17	6	6	5	+2	24
11	Lille	17	6	6	5	-1	24
12	Lyon	16	6	5	5	+0	23
13	Nantes	17	6	4	7	+0	22
14	Reims	17	4	7	6	-2	19
15	Troyes	17	4	4	9	-9	16
16	Lorient	17	3	6	8	-13	15
17	Bordeaux	17	2	8	7	-13	14
18	Clermont	17	3	5	9	-13	14
19	Metz	17	2	6	9	-19	12
20	St Etienne	17	2	6	9	-20	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	7	1	0	+13	22
2	Rennes	9	6	1	2	+12	19
3	Strasbourg	9	5	2	2	+13	17
4	Montpellier	9	5	2	2	+6	17
5	Lens	9	4	4	1	+9	16
6	Monaco	9	4	3	2	+7	15
7	Lyon	8	4	3	1	+6	15
8	Marseille	9	4	3	2	+6	15
9	Lille	8	4	3	1	+1	15
10	Nantes	8	4	1	3	+3	13
11	Angers	8	4	1	3	+1	13
12	Brest	8	3	3	2	+4	12
13	Nice	9	3	3	3	+1	12
14	Lorient	8	3	2	3	-1	11
15	Troyes	8	2	3	3	+0	9
16	Clermont	8	2	3	3	-1	9
17	Reims	8	2	3	3	-1	9
18	Bordeaux	9	1	4	4	-4	7
19	St Etienne	9	1	4	4	-10	7
20	Metz	8	0	4	4	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	6	2	1	+7	20
2	Nice	8	5	1	2	+9	16
3	Marseille	7	4	2	1	+3	14
4	Rennes	8	3	3	2	+6	12
5	Angers	9	2	6	1	+2	12
6	Brest	9	3	3	3	-2	12
7	Monaco	8	3	2	3	+0	11
8	Lens	8	3	2	3	-2	11
9	Reims	9	2	4	3	-1	10
10	Strasbourg	8	2	3	3	-1	9
11	Lille	9	2	3	4	-2	9
12	Nantes	9	2	3	4	-3	9
13	Montpellier	8	2	2	4	-4	8
14	Lyon	8	2	2	4	-6	8
15	Metz	9	2	2	5	-11	8
16	Bordeaux	8	1	4	3	-9	7
17	Troyes	9	2	1	6	-9	7
18	St Etienne	8	1	2	5	-10	5
19	Clermont	9	1	2	6	-12	5
20	Lorient	9	0	4	5	-12	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.