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Ligue 1

Referee: E Wattellier

Nantes

S T U T U

0–1

Full-time

Marseille

U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Marseille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,8

1,5

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,7

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 15/14 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

40%

36%

Both score Ø 52%

60%

43%

Average goals

2,7

2,4

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

29% Possession 71%

3 Shots 15

1 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 6

5 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 7

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nantes 12. · Marseille 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	15	13	1	1	+20	40
2	Rennes	15	8	4	3	+14	28
3	Nice	15	8	3	4	+13	27
4	Marseille	14	7	5	2	+9	26
5	Lens	15	7	4	4	+7	25
6	Strasbourg	16	6	5	5	+9	23
7	Monaco	16	6	5	5	+3	23
8	Angers	16	5	7	4	+2	22
9	Montpellier	16	6	4	6	+1	22
10	Lyon	14	6	4	4	+1	22
11	Brest	16	5	6	5	+1	21
12	Nantes	15	5	4	6	+0	19
13	Lille	15	4	6	5	-3	18
14	Reims	15	3	7	5	-2	16
15	Troyes	16	4	4	8	-8	16
16	Lorient	16	3	6	7	-12	15
17	Clermont	15	3	4	8	-12	13
18	Bordeaux	16	2	7	7	-13	13
19	Metz	16	2	6	8	-15	12
20	St Etienne	16	2	6	8	-15	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	7	0	0	+13	21
2	Rennes	8	6	1	1	+13	19
3	Strasbourg	9	5	2	2	+13	17
4	Lens	8	4	3	1	+9	15
5	Lyon	7	4	3	0	+7	15
6	Marseille	8	4	3	1	+7	15
7	Montpellier	8	4	2	2	+5	14
8	Nantes	7	4	1	2	+4	13
9	Angers	8	4	1	3	+1	13
10	Brest	8	3	3	2	+4	12
11	Nice	8	3	3	2	+4	12
12	Monaco	8	3	3	2	+3	12
13	Lille	7	3	3	1	+0	12
14	Lorient	7	3	2	2	+0	11
15	Troyes	8	2	3	3	+0	9
16	Reims	7	2	3	2	+0	9
17	Clermont	7	2	2	3	-1	8
18	St Etienne	8	1	4	3	-5	7
19	Bordeaux	8	1	3	4	-4	6
20	Metz	8	0	4	4	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	6	1	1	+7	19
2	Nice	7	5	0	2	+9	15
3	Marseille	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Monaco	8	3	2	3	+0	11
5	Lens	7	3	1	3	-2	10
6	Angers	8	1	6	1	+1	9
7	Rennes	7	2	3	2	+1	9
8	Brest	8	2	3	3	-3	9
9	Montpellier	8	2	2	4	-4	8
10	Metz	8	2	2	4	-7	8
11	Reims	8	1	4	3	-2	7
12	Lyon	7	2	1	4	-6	7
13	Troyes	8	2	1	5	-8	7
14	Bordeaux	8	1	4	3	-9	7
15	Lille	8	1	3	4	-3	6
16	Nantes	8	1	3	4	-4	6
17	Strasbourg	7	1	3	3	-4	6
18	St Etienne	8	1	2	5	-10	5
19	Clermont	8	1	2	5	-11	5
20	Lorient	9	0	4	5	-12	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.