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Serie A
Referee: I Pezzuto
Sassuolo
S T T U S
2–2
Full-time
Napoli
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Napoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,2
This season — Serie A · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 58%
36%
79%
Points per game
1,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
79%
57%
Both score Ø 58%
79%
36%
Average goals
3,1
2,6
Scored
1,6
2,1
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
9 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 19
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sassuolo 12. · Napoli 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 14 11 2 1 +23 35
2 Inter 15 10 4 1 +21 34
3 Milan 14 10 2 2 +12 32
4 Atalanta 15 9 4 2 +15 31
5 Roma 15 8 1 6 +8 25
6 Fiorentina 15 8 0 7 +4 24
7 Juventus 15 7 3 5 +4 24
8 Bologna 15 7 3 5 -3 24
9 Lazio 14 6 3 5 +0 21
10 Verona 15 5 5 5 +3 20
11 Empoli 14 6 1 7 -5 19
12 Sassuolo 14 5 3 6 +1 18
13 Torino 14 5 2 7 +3 17
14 Udinese 14 3 6 5 -4 15
15 Sampdoria 15 4 3 8 -8 15
16 Venezia 15 4 3 8 -13 15
17 Spezia 15 3 2 10 -19 11
18 Genoa 14 1 7 6 -9 10
19 Cagliari 15 1 6 8 -13 9
20 Salernitana 15 2 2 11 -20 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sassuolo Napoli
Rogério 🟨
25′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 E. Elmas
↦ L. Insigne
51′
Fabián Ruiz 0–1
P. Zieliński
Domenico Berardi 🟨
54′
59′
D. Mertens 0–2
P. Zieliński
Matheus Henrique 🔁
↦ H. Traorè
61′
G. Kiriakopoulos 🔁
↦ Rogério
61′
66′
🔁 A. Petagna
↦ D. Mertens
66′
🔁 M. Politano
↦ Fabián Ruiz
1–2 G. Scamacca
G. Kiriakopoulos
71′
73′
🔁 D. Demme
↦ H. Lozano
A. Harroui 🔁
↦ D. Frattesi
77′
80′
🔁 Juan Jesus
↦ K. Koulibaly
84′
🟨 Matteo Politano
Matheus Henrique 🟨
86′
88′
🟨 Diego Demme
G. Defrel 🔁
↦ G. Raspadori
88′
2–2 G. Ferrari
D. Berardi
89′
Grégoire Defrel 🟨
94′
Grégoire Defrel ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
95′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Sassuolo

4-3-3
47 A. Consigli G
21 V. Chiricheș D
22 J. Toljan D
31 G. Ferrari D
6 Rogério D
8 M. Lopez M
16 D. Frattesi M
23 H. Traorè M
25 D. Berardi F
91 G. Scamacca F
18 G. Raspadori F
Bench (10)
97 Matheus Henrique
77 G. Kiriakopoulos
20 A. Harroui
92 G. Defrel
56 G. Pegolo
4 F. Magnanelli
24 G. Satalino
5 K. Ayhan
17 M. Müldür
13 F. Peluso

Coach: A. Dionisi

Napoli

4-3-3
25 D. Ospina G
6 Mário Rui D
26 K. Koulibaly D
22 G. Di Lorenzo D
13 A. Rrahmani D
20 P. Zieliński M
68 S. Lobotka M
8 Fabián Ruiz M
14 D. Mertens F
24 L. Insigne F
11 H. Lozano F
Bench (10)
7 E. Elmas
37 A. Petagna
21 M. Politano
4 D. Demme
5 Juan Jesus
1 A. Meret
12 D. Marfella
31 F. Ghoulam
33 A. Ounas
2 K. Malcuit

Coach: L. Spalletti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,98
U ✓
3,86
B
1,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,41
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

I Pezzuto · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.