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Primeira Liga

Referee: João Ferreira

Estoril

T T S U S

0–0

Full-time

Guimaraes

U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Estoril Guimaraes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,7

2,3

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

2,0

1,0

Scored

2,0

0,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%

7 Shots 12

1 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 9

2 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Estoril 7. · Guimaraes 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	+3	3
2	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	+3	3
3	Tondela	1	1	0	+3	3
4	Porto	1	1	0	+2	3
5	Pacos Ferreira	1	1	0	+2	3
6	Sp Braga	1	1	0	+2	3
7	Estoril	1	1	0	+2	3
8	Benfica	1	1	0	+1	3
9	Portimonense	1	1	0	+1	3
10	Moreirense	1	0	1	-1	0
11	Guimaraes	1	0	1	-1	0
12	Belenenses	1	0	1	-2	0
13	Famalicao	1	0	1	-2	0
14	Maritimo	1	0	1	-2	0
15	Arouca	1	0	1	-2	0
16	Boavista	1	0	1	-3	0
17	Vizela	1	0	1	-3	0
18	Santa Clara	1	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	+3	3
2	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	+3	3
3	Tondela	1	1	0	+3	3
4	Porto	1	1	0	+2	3
5	Pacos Ferreira	1	1	0	+2	3
6	Moreirense	1	0	1	-1	0
7	Guimaraes	1	0	1	-1	0
8	Maritimo	1	0	1	-2	0
9	Arouca	1	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	1	1	0	+2	3
2	Estoril	1	1	0	+2	3
3	Benfica	1	1	0	+1	3
4	Portimonense	1	1	0	+1	3
5	Belenenses	1	0	1	-2	0
6	Famalicao	1	0	1	-2	0
7	Boavista	1	0	1	-3	0
8	Vizela	1	0	1	-3	0
9	Santa Clara	1	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.