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Ligue 1
Referee: J Brisard
Dijon
T T S U U
1–1
Full-time
Strasbourg
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Strasbourg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 19/20 matches
Win Ø 23%
11%
35%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
32%
55%
Both score Ø 36%
37%
35%
Average goals
2,0
3,1
Scored
0,6
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
5 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dijon 19. · Strasbourg 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 21 14 3 4 +37 45
2 Lille 20 12 6 2 +20 42
3 Lyon 20 11 7 2 +20 40
4 Monaco 21 12 3 6 +12 39
5 Rennes 20 10 6 4 +8 36
6 Marseille 20 9 5 6 +5 32
7 Bordeaux 21 9 5 7 +3 32
8 Lens 21 9 4 8 +0 31
9 Angers 21 9 3 9 -7 30
10 Metz 20 7 7 6 +3 28
11 Montpellier 21 8 4 9 -6 28
12 Brest 20 8 2 10 -5 26
13 Nice 20 7 5 8 -5 26
14 Strasbourg 20 7 2 11 -3 23
15 Reims 20 5 6 9 -3 21
16 St Etienne 20 4 7 9 -10 19
17 Nantes 20 3 9 8 -12 18
18 Nimes 20 4 3 13 -25 15
19 Dijon 19 2 8 9 -14 14
20 Lorient 19 3 3 13 -18 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dijon Strasbourg
Half-time 0–1
51′
L. Ajorque 0–1
52′
ℹ️ Ludovic Ajorque
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Ngonda Muzinga 🟨
54′
R. Assalé 🔁
↦ E. Ebimbe
59′
M. Konaté 🔁
↦ B. Celina
59′
1–1 S. Coulibaly
63′
68′
🔁 J. Bellegarde
↦ M. Chahiri
P. Diop 🔁
↦ W. Lautoa
73′
M. Chouiar 🔁
↦ F. Sammaritano
74′
78′
🔁 K. Zohi
↦ H. Diallo
90′
🔁 D. Liénard
↦ A. Thomasson
90′
🔁 L. Carole
↦ A. Caci
90′
🔁 L. Koné
↦ I. Sissoko
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Dijon

4-2-3-1
1 A. Racioppi G
25 B. Écuélé Manga D
24 W. Lautoa M
3 G. Ngonda D
5 S. Coulibaly D
2 S. Boey D
7 F. Sammaritano M
9 B. Celina M
22 D. Ndong M
17 Mama Baldé F
8 E. Ebimbe M
Bench (9)
15 R. Assalé
11 M. Konaté
6 P. Diop
21 M. Chouiar
29 M. Dobre
26 F. Chafik
4 J. Panzo
16 S. Allagbé
14 J. Marié

Coach: D. Linarès

Strasbourg

4-2-3-1
16 E. Kawashima G
13 S. Mitrović D
10 K. Lala D
24 A. Djiku D
19 A. Caci D
6 J. Aholou M
26 A. Thomasson M
21 M. Chahiri M
27 I. Sissoko M
25 L. Ajorque F
28 H. Diallo M
Bench (9)
17 J. Bellegarde
20 K. Zohi
11 D. Liénard
23 L. Carole
5 L. Koné
34 A. Lebeau
30 B. Kamara
14 S. Prcić
18 M. Siby

Coach: T. Laurey

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,68
U ✓
3,47
B
2,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,11
U2,5 ✓
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Brisard · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.