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Serie A
Referee: D Orsato
Cagliari
T T U T T
0–1
Full-time
Torino
U U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,3
2,3
Scored
0,2
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
This season — Serie A · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 12%
14%
9%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
41%
59%
Both score Ø 66%
59%
73%
Average goals
2,9
3,3
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
18 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 3
0 Offside 3
20 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cagliari 18. · Torino 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 22 15 5 2 +30 50
2 Milan 22 15 4 3 +20 49
3 Roma 22 13 4 5 +12 43
4 Juventus 21 12 6 3 +22 42
5 Napoli 21 13 1 7 +24 40
6 Atalanta 22 11 7 4 +20 40
7 Lazio 22 12 4 6 +7 40
8 Sassuolo 22 9 7 6 +3 34
9 Verona 22 9 6 7 +4 33
10 Sampdoria 22 9 3 10 +0 30
11 Genoa 22 6 7 9 -7 25
12 Fiorentina 23 6 7 10 -10 25
13 Bologna 22 6 6 10 -7 24
14 Udinese 22 6 6 10 -8 24
15 Spezia 23 6 6 11 -11 24
16 Benevento 22 6 6 10 -17 24
17 Torino 22 2 11 9 -9 17
18 Cagliari 22 3 6 13 -16 15
19 Parma 22 2 7 13 -28 13
20 Crotone 22 3 3 16 -29 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cagliari Torino
26′
🟨 Saša Lukić
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟨 Andrea Belotti
Giovanni Simeone 🟨
64′
A. Cerri 🔁
↦ G. Simeone
70′
Luca Ceppitelli 🟨
72′
76′
Bremer 0–1
R. Mandragora
78′
🔁 F. Bonazzoli
↦ S. Zaza
L. Pavoletti 🔁
↦ R. Nainggolan
79′
G. Pereiro 🔁
↦ L. Ceppitelli
79′
79′
🔁 D. Baselli
↦ S. Lukić
Gabriele Zappa 🟨
88′
A. Duncan 🔁
↦ G. Zappa
89′
89′
🔁 M. Vojvoda
↦ W. Singo
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Cagliari

3-4-1-2
28 A. Cragno G
2 D. Godín D
23 L. Ceppitelli D
24 D. Rugani D
22 C. Lykogiannis M
25 G. Zappa M
4 R. Nainggolan F
10 João Pedro F
8 R. Marin M
18 N. Nández M
9 G. Simeone F
Bench (12)
27 A. Cerri
30 L. Pavoletti
20 G. Pereiro
32 A. Duncan
44 A. Carboni
1 S. Aresti
31 G. Vicario
40 S. Walukiewicz
16 A. Calabresi
14 A. Deiola
19 K. Asamoah
17 M. Tramoni

Coach: E. Di Francesco

Torino

3-1-4-2
39 S. Sirigu G
15 C. Ansaldi M
33 N. N'Koulou D
5 A. Izzo D
3 Bremer D
17 W. Singo M
88 T. Rincón M
7 S. Lukić M
38 R. Mandragora M
11 S. Zaza F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (9)
26 F. Bonazzoli
8 D. Baselli
27 M. Vojvoda
13 R. Rodríguez
18 S. Ujkani
32 V. Savić
24 S. Verdi
4 Lyanco
10 A. Gojak

Coach: D. Nicola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,87
U
3,26
B ✓
2,56
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,04
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Orsato · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.